MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Choose a fight to analyse
IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Gibson Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Thainara v Brasil Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus157 picks · conf 99/99
Thainara 147
10 Brasil
TCPIDA pick Thainara
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Thainara 0-0 VS 11-6-1 Brasil
5'4" height 5'6"
115 lb weight 116 lb
67" reach 65"
30 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 2.9
55% striking accuracy 61%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
50% striking defence 50%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
51% takedown accuracy 72%
78% takedown defence 59%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Alexia Thainara “I think it's just a clear win, easy win for Alexia Thainara.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Alexia Thainara “Alexia Thainara's better everywhere. Alexia Thainara is going to outstrike Bruna Brasil.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Alexia Thainara “Otherwise, she's probably going to lose to Alexia Thainara based on her much superior ground game.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Alexia Thainara VALUE “Alexia Thainara is going to win.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Alexia Thainara VALUE $1.12
CN Cameron Nigro picks Alexia Thainara VALUE $1.12
BN By The Numbers picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I really wanted to go Alexa Grasso Thin in this rematch... But I think Bruna Brasil may get this done via decision, dude. or submission... I'm just going to have to pick Bruno Brazil.” $6.50
AN AntUFC picks Alexia Thainara VALUE “I have Alexia Thainara Thanara by decision”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Alexia Thainara “I'm going to go with uh Alexia Thainara”
PT Premier TV picks Alexia Thainara “Alexia Thainara, Michael Chiesa, Michael Chiesa all day.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Alexia Thainara “I think Alexia Thainara is going to be able to get her down, be active on top, and look for subs.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I'm going to break out by Kyle Nelson. But, uh, McKenna is out Kyle Nelson pretty early in this fight between Julian Erosa taking on Larry and Douglas.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Thainara0-0
W Brasil Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Sep '25
W McCann Submission · R1 Mar '25
Brasil11-6-1
L Thainara Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Souza Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '25
W McCann Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Feb '24