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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read O'Neill v Fernandes Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus104 picks · conf 87/99
O'Neill 41
63 Fernandes
IBWTJC pick O'Neill
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
O'Neill 10-2 VS 0-0 Fernandes
5'6" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
69" reach 66"
28 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
7.9 strikes landed / min 3.5
52% striking accuracy 46%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
57% striking defence 49%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
34% takedown accuracy 18%
70% takedown defence 60%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes “I think Gabriella Fernandes is going to be able to freaking submit her.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes “So for that reason, I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 going with Gabriella Fernandes.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes “I'm going with Gabriel Fernandez.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Gabriella Fernandes VALUE “I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10. She's like she's more of a man than Casey O'Neill. She hits like decently hard. She's got like decent grappling, too. So, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 by decision.”
BN By The Numbers picks Gabriella Fernandes VALUE “I think she's going to club and sub you... I think Gabriella Fernandes round two submission.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Casey O'Neill “we just feel uh Casey O'Neill's volume is going to edge it out for the win.”
AN AntUFC picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I'll go with Casey O'Neill here”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Casey O'Neill “Gabriella Fernandes is going to lose this fight um by decision.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I don't think Casey O'Neill, Gabriella Fernandes Gabriella Fernandes, I think she hits Casey O'Neill”
US Uselyis picks Gabriella Fernandes VALUE $2.00
PT Premier TV picks Gabriella Fernandes “I got a unit on uh Mansur Abdul-Malik, Chase Hooper, and Gabriella Fernandes money lines.”
PT Premier TV picks Casey O'Neill “I like Casey O'Neill, and I like uh Alexa Grasso.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
O'Neill10-2
W Fernandes KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Santos Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lipski Submission · R2 Dec '23
L Maia Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Modafferi Decision · R3 Feb '22
Fernandes0-0
L O'Neill KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Stoliarenko Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Cong Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Judice Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Bledá Decision · R3 Jun '23