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Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
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Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight
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Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight
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Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Hooper vs Gibson Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Abdul-Malik v Belgaroui
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Abdul-Malik 9-0-1
VS
9-3 Belgaroui
6'2"
height
6'6"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
80"
reach
79"
28
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.6
strikes landed / min
3.5
54%
striking accuracy
59%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
53%
striking defence
63%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.7
0%
takedown accuracy
72%
75%
takedown defence
59%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
IJB MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I think Yousri Belgaroui is going to win a decision.”
IJB MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I think Yousri Belgaroui is going to win a decision.”
CM
CornerTalk MMA picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I think this is Mansur Abdul-Malik's fight to win.”
CornerTalk MMA picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I think this is Mansur Abdul-Malik's fight to win.”
MM
MASKED MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“User Belgori, he has amazing striking. Uh, his long and range he strikes are so good.”
MASKED MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“User Belgori, he has amazing striking. Uh, his long and range he strikes are so good.”
PI
PibbleMMA picks Yousri Belgaroui VALUE
“Yousri Belgaroui is going to have a to fraud check him.”
PibbleMMA picks Yousri Belgaroui VALUE
“Yousri Belgaroui is going to have a to fraud check him.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“We're gonna roll with Mansur Abdul-Malik on this one.”
$1.78
DMan&MariPulls picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“We're gonna roll with Mansur Abdul-Malik on this one.”
$1.78
AN
AntUFC picks Yousri Belgaroui VALUE
“I do believe that Yousri Belgaroui is probably going to outstrike Maner Abdul Malik and find a finish later in the fight... I think user is gonna he's going to put a striking clinic on in this fight and find a round three finish I'd say by TKO”
AntUFC picks Yousri Belgaroui VALUE
“I do believe that Yousri Belgaroui is probably going to outstrike Maner Abdul Malik and find a finish later in the fight... I think user is gonna he's going to put a striking clinic on in this fight and find a round three finish I'd say by TKO”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“this will be a split decision... Or um Mansur Abdul-Malik will win a 2928 uh unanimous victory.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“this will be a split decision... Or um Mansur Abdul-Malik will win a 2928 uh unanimous victory.”
PT
Premier TV picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I have a unit on Mansur Abdul-Malik”
Premier TV picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I have a unit on Mansur Abdul-Malik”
DY
DylanMMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_35 gonna go with Yousri Belgaroui.”
DylanMMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_35 gonna go with Yousri Belgaroui.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I think Yousri Belgaroui is gonna get be able to he's going to get taken down probably. um be able to get back up, work to his feet, and then just piece him up and and tired him leak out and and finish him later on”
Bozing MMA picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I think Yousri Belgaroui is gonna get be able to he's going to get taken down probably. um be able to get back up, work to his feet, and then just piece him up and and tired him leak out and and finish him later on”
XL
xLimOnC picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I'm going with Yousri Belgaroui by stoppage”
xLimOnC picks Yousri Belgaroui
“I'm going with Yousri Belgaroui by stoppage”
FH
Fight HQ picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I'll go Mansur Abdul-Malik”
Fight HQ picks Mansur Abdul-Malik
“I'll go Mansur Abdul-Malik”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Abdul-Malik9-0-1
L
Belgaroui
Mar '26
W
Trócoli
Dec '25
W
Brundage
Jun '25
W
Klein
Feb '25
W
Todorović
Nov '24
Belgaroui9-3
W
Abdul-Malik
Mar '26
W
Bekoev
Oct '25