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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tybura v Fortune Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus129 picks · conf 99/99
Tybura 64
65 Fortune
PDKBGG pick Tybura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tybura 27-10 VS 17-3 Fortune
6'3" height 6'2"
256 lb weight 255 lb
78" reach 77"
40 age 35
Orthodox stance --
2.5 strikes landed / min —
45% striking accuracy —
4.4 strikes absorbed / min —
69% striking defence —
2.6 takedowns / 15 min —
55% takedown accuracy —
87% takedown defence —
0.9 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Tyrell Fortune “Tyrell Fortune, I think, is going to beat Marcin Tybura.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Marcin Tybura “gun to my head, I'd have to take Marcin Tybura.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Tyrell Fortune “I'm going to go with Tyrell Fortune here because Marcin Tybura, honestly, in hindsight, the antidha loss isn't that good.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “Worst fight of the night prediction. Give me Marcin Tybura to beat Tyrell Fortune in the worst fight of the night.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I think Tyrell Fortune chins march into early.”
BN By The Numbers picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I think Tyora gets this done easily. Uh, first round submission for Martian Tybora.” $2.15
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Tyrell Fortune “I've got Tyrell for uh Tyrell Fortune winning this by late uh or But by round one, possibly round two KO”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I like Tyrell Fortune here”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I had a bet on Marcin Tybura”
US Uselyis picks Marcin Tybura VALUE $2.20
PT Premier TV picks Marcin Tybura “I'm willing to bet on him, bro.”
DY DylanMMA picks Marcin Tybura “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_35 gonna go with Marcin Tybura just because why not?”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tybura27-10
L Fortune Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Delija KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
L Spivac Submission · R1 Aug '24
Fortune17-3
W Tybura Decision · R3 Mar '26