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Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight
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Hooper vs Gibson Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Grasso v Barber
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Grasso 16-5-1
VS
15-3 Barber
5'5"
height
5'5"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
66"
reach
65"
32
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.9
41%
striking accuracy
38%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
58%
striking defence
49%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
40%
takedown accuracy
45%
54%
takedown defence
61%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
IJB MMA picks Alexa Grasso
“she's going to win that by decision.”
IJB MMA picks Alexa Grasso
“she's going to win that by decision.”
CM
CornerTalk MMA picks Alexa Grasso
“I think Alexa Grasso gets it done again... I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 not even nervous to say like Alexa Grasso is is my pick.”
CornerTalk MMA picks Alexa Grasso
“I think Alexa Grasso gets it done again... I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 not even nervous to say like Alexa Grasso is is my pick.”
MM
MASKED MMA picks Alexa Grasso VALUE
“I'm actually going to go with Alexa Graco here. I think this is a decent underdog.”
MASKED MMA picks Alexa Grasso VALUE
“I'm actually going to go with Alexa Graco here. I think this is a decent underdog.”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Maycee Barber
“I'm going to go with Maycee Barber.”
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Maycee Barber
“I'm going to go with Maycee Barber.”
PI
PibbleMMA picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I'm going to pick Maycee Barber.”
PibbleMMA picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I'm going to pick Maycee Barber.”
CE
CeilingMMA picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I'm going to go Macy Maycee Barber by decision.”
CeilingMMA picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I'm going to go Macy Maycee Barber by decision.”
BN
By The Numbers picks Alexa Grasso
“I really wanted to go Alexa Grasso Thin in this rematch... But I think Bruna Brasil may get this done”
By The Numbers picks Alexa Grasso
“I really wanted to go Alexa Grasso Thin in this rematch... But I think Bruna Brasil may get this done”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Maycee Barber
“I just got to see Maycee Barber winning this one”
DMan&MariPulls picks Maycee Barber
“I just got to see Maycee Barber winning this one”
AN
AntUFC picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I do give Alexa Grac a little bit of a stand up advantage here... But, you know, NOT_IN_ROSTER_30 does expose a lot of WMA fighters grappling, but maybe Maycee Barber can make some takedowns and just win based off ground and pound. That's what I'm thinking by decision”
AntUFC picks Maycee Barber VALUE
“I do give Alexa Grac a little bit of a stand up advantage here... But, you know, NOT_IN_ROSTER_30 does expose a lot of WMA fighters grappling, but maybe Maycee Barber can make some takedowns and just win based off ground and pound. That's what I'm thinking by decision”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Alexa Grasso
“I'm going to go with Alexa Grasso uh by round round one possibly round two uh submission.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Alexa Grasso
“I'm going to go with Alexa Grasso uh by round round one possibly round two uh submission.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Maycee Barber
“she'll win herself a good old-fashioned 2928 victory.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Maycee Barber
“she'll win herself a good old-fashioned 2928 victory.”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Alexa Grasso VALUE
“give me Macy Barber via decision”
Capitán Rafucho picks Alexa Grasso VALUE
“give me Macy Barber via decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Grasso16-5-1
W
Barber
Mar '26
L
Silva
May '25
L
Shevchenko
Sep '24
W
Shevchenko
Mar '23
W
Araújo
Oct '22
Barber15-3
L
Grasso
Mar '26
W
Silva
Dec '25
W
Cerminara
Mar '24
W
Ribas
Jun '23
W
Lee
Mar '23