MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hooper v Gibson Jr. Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus125 picks · conf 99/99
Hooper 104
21 Gibson Jr.
CIPUPR pick Hooper
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1 VS 9-2 Gibson Jr.
6'1" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 158 lb
74" reach 72"
26 age 31
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 1.2
52% striking accuracy 75%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 6.4
36% striking defence 20%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
24% takedown accuracy 0%
55% takedown defence 0%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Chase Hooper “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 going to pick Chase Hooper just based off experience.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going to pick safe Chase Hooper.”
PI PibbleMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going to pick Chase Hooper here.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Chase Hooper “We're going to roll with him.”
AN AntUFC picks Chase Hooper “I'm going to go with Chase Hooper”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Chase Hooper “Chase Hooper all the way.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm just going to go with Chase Hooper sub”
US Uselyis picks Chase Hooper VALUE $1.32
PT Premier TV picks Lance Gibson Jr. “I really think Lance Gibson Jr. is going to get it done against Chase Hooper.” $3.55
DY DylanMMA picks Chase Hooper “By submission, I weird. They gave him Chase Hooper.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Chase Hooper “I'm going Chase Hooper by sub mid to late rounds once he builds into the fight a little better”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Chase Hooper “so I'll say Chase Hooper wins this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L Gibson Jr. KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Guida Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Borshchev Submission · R2 May '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Green Decision · R3 Dec '25