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Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
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MB
Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JE
LD
Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight
MA
YB
Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight
TM
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McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight
IB
TM
Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CH
LJ
Hooper vs Gibson Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight
MT
TF
Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CO
GF
O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
NS
BL
Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
RS
AY
Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AT
BB
Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hooper v Gibson Jr.
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1
VS
9-2 Gibson Jr.
6'1"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
158 lb
74"
reach
72"
26
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
1.2
52%
striking accuracy
75%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
6.4
36%
striking defence
20%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
24%
takedown accuracy
0%
55%
takedown defence
0%
2.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
CornerTalk MMA picks Chase Hooper
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 going to pick Chase Hooper just based off experience.”
CM
Crashout MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE
“I'm going to pick safe Chase Hooper.”
PI
PibbleMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE
“I'm going to pick Chase Hooper here.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Chase Hooper
“We're going to roll with him.”
AN
AntUFC picks Chase Hooper
“I'm going to go with Chase Hooper”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Chase Hooper
“Chase Hooper all the way.”
NA
NarcoCopMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE
“I'm just going to go with Chase Hooper sub”
PT
Premier TV picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“I really think Lance Gibson Jr. is going to get it done against Chase Hooper.”
$3.55
DY
DylanMMA picks Chase Hooper
“By submission, I weird. They gave him Chase Hooper.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Chase Hooper
“I'm going Chase Hooper by sub mid to late rounds once he builds into the fight a little better”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Chase Hooper
“so I'll say Chase Hooper wins this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L
Gibson Jr.
Mar '26
L
Hernandez
Aug '25
W
Miller
Apr '25
W
Guida
Dec '24
W
Borshchev
May '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W
Hooper
Mar '26
L
Green
Dec '25