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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read McGee v Means Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
McGee 9
13 Means
TSHFWA pick McGee
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McGee 23-13 VS 33-17-1 Means
5'11" height 6'2"
170 lb weight 171 lb
75" reach 75"
41 age 42
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.0
37% striking accuracy 49%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
61% striking defence 60%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
25% takedown accuracy 40%
69% takedown defence 64%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Tim Means “I gotta I gotta take Tim Means here I'm going to be uh all over it I actually like him to kick off the card very much”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Tim Means “I'm with Tim Means in this one... going to take Tim Means... I'm going to be going with Tim Means yeah I'm just I just prefer Tim Means”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Court McGee “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_44 picking Court McGee”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Tim Means “Tim my pick Tim Means”
KU Kunath picks Tim Means “I have Tim Means going higher than 59 and a half significant strikes”
DS Dynes Sports picks Court McGee “maybe betting decision only on Court McGee because if there is a finish I do I think if it goes 15 Court McGee could be”
DR DRYWALL picks Court McGee VALUE “we like Ovince Saint Preux money line”
PR Premium-Picks picks Tim Means “give me Tim Means”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Tim Means VALUE “I'm going with Tim Means”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Court McGee VALUE “I think Court McGee is going to win this fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tim Means “I'm going to take Tim Means that's the pick”
DR DRYWALL picks Tim Means “it's going to be a decision I think Tim Means where put decision I think Tim Means where put some damage on him”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McGee23-13
L Chiesa Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Means Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Morono Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Brown KO/TKO · R1 May '23
L Wells KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Means33-17-1
L McGee Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
W Fialho KO/TKO · R3 Sep '23
L Morono Submission · R2 May '23
L Griffin Decision · R3 Oct '22