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Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Pereira vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
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Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
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Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
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Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pennington v Esparza
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pennington 14-7
VS
20-8 Esparza
5'1"
height
5'1"
114 lb
weight
115 lb
61"
reach
63"
36
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
2.2
47%
striking accuracy
39%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
61%
striking defence
54%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
3.3
14%
takedown accuracy
36%
63%
takedown defence
47%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ES
etoft21 sports picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington has the skills on the feet and on the ground to handle Carla Esparza I just don't think it's going to happen”
etoft21 sports picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington has the skills on the feet and on the ground to handle Carla Esparza I just don't think it's going to happen”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington all day long ... I'm gonna go with Tecia Pennington”
The Rambling Dad picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington all day long ... I'm gonna go with Tecia Pennington”
KU
Kunath picks Carla Esparza
“I like the higher on significant strike count for both Austin Hubbard and Carla Esparza as well”
Kunath picks Carla Esparza
“I like the higher on significant strike count for both Austin Hubbard and Carla Esparza as well”
KU
Kunath picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think that Carlo sparza goes in there hunts for takedowns secures a handful of them and just does enough to win these rounds”
Kunath picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think that Carlo sparza goes in there hunts for takedowns secures a handful of them and just does enough to win these rounds”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Tecia Pennington
“I like Tecia Pennington here at the Tecia Pennington ... I'm leaning Tecia Pennington by decision ... I like Tecia Pennington a lot ... yeah I like her ... have to kind of take Tecia Pennington here”
Dynes Sports picks Tecia Pennington
“I like Tecia Pennington here at the Tecia Pennington ... I'm leaning Tecia Pennington by decision ... I like Tecia Pennington a lot ... yeah I like her ... have to kind of take Tecia Pennington here”
DR
DRYWALL picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I'm G to have action on it's all going to be centered around César Almeida ... we're picking him by decision”
DRYWALL picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I'm G to have action on it's all going to be centered around César Almeida ... we're picking him by decision”
DR
DRYWALL picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“we like Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side”
DRYWALL picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“we like Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Carla Esparza
“I think Tisha decisions her”
Premium-Picks picks Carla Esparza
“I think Tisha decisions her”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“give me Carla barza”
Premium-Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“give me Carla barza”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“I do think Tecia Pennington penon is going to get it done”
We Want Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“I do think Tecia Pennington penon is going to get it done”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“I will take that all day Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee to means plus 190”
Extra Thiccc picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“I will take that all day Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee to means plus 190”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think T gets it done”
Extra Thiccc picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think T gets it done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pennington14-7
L
Gomes
Nov '25
W
Pinheiro
May '25
W
Esparza
Oct '24
L
Ricci
May '24
Esparza20-8
L
Pennington
Oct '24
L
Weili
Nov '22
W
Namajunas
May '22
W
Xiaonan
May '21
W
Rodriguez
Jul '20