MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Choose a fight to analyse
AP KJ Pereira vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight JP RP Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB JA Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight RD KH Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight KH KV Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight JB ST Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight IL MR Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AH AH Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight CA IP Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RS OP Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TP CE Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CM TM McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almeida v Potieria Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus18 picks · conf 40/99
Almeida 16
2 Potieria
CMMSCT pick Almeida
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almeida 6-1 VS 20-8 Potieria
6'1" height 6'3"
185 lb weight 188 lb
74" reach 75"
38 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.6
57% striking accuracy 50%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
47% striking defence 50%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
0% takedown accuracy 18%
57% takedown defence 66%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DS Dynes Sports picks César Almeida “I like César Almeida here um gonna get caught by César Almeida um ... I like César Almeida again”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks César Almeida VALUE “I'm personally going to be more so on the César Almeidaex Pereira side at at this price tag even it's expensive but I think it's probably warranted uh there are like a few really cheap plays that I think have you know a chance and I do think round tree is one of them so I'll be sprinkling some Round Tree but you know mostly them going to be on the César Almeidaex Pereiray side personally”
DR DRYWALL picks César Almeida VALUE “César Almeida he gets it done early”
PR Premium-Picks picks César Almeida VALUE “I think César Almeida is Gonna Knock Out ehor”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks César Almeida “AJ thoughts on José Aldoex Pereira being two feet taller than César Almeida I'm not surprised that he's a bit taller”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks César Almeida VALUE “I'm going Austin hubard dog number two I'm going Marina Rodriguez dog number three Stephen Thompson dog number four for this pick I'm going Roman delit dog number five I'm going Kayla Harrison I'm going Jose Aldo dog number six um I'm going Raquel Pennington and co-main and still and then I'm going Alex Pereira in the in the main event”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ihor Potieria “I went with Ihor Potieria man in all honesty poti areia on the feed in all honesty I know it's going to sound crazy but I think poti areia has a shot on the feet um cesara my subscribers went with César Almeida I went with eho poia I think César Almeida is good but number one Ihor Potieria has the experience in the UFC number two Ihor Potieria the power to actually knock you out number three he has the reach so he can land from a distance and avoid getting hit I know he hasn't been performing well recently but I don't know man I feel like has a sh man um I thinko po areia has a sh um um anyway uh uh I need to clear up space this dude just asking stupid questions in the comment section um anyway um let me proceed uh khon to okay so yeah I'm going with ehop area because I feel like he is the on the feed obviously say Alida is a little bit more accurate um I don't know man now for me on the feed I feel like the fight will be closely matched maybe I could be wrong but also Cesar Al is like 36 36 years old um he's not going to be performing at the highest level of his um skill or career”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ihor Potieria “give me Cesar Arma to send Pia to Shadow City give me Cesar Arma to send him to to Ben asrin”
SJ Shaun Jones picks César Almeida “César Almeida is going to get this done I'm going to go César Almeida”
CM Crashout MMA picks César Almeida VALUE “César Almeida is going to win by knockout”
WP We Want Picks picks César Almeida VALUE “he's taking on César Almeida big-time professional kickboxer”
TF The ICE Files picks César Almeida “I'll go with Caesar Almeida” $1.25
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almeida6-1
L Oleksiejczuk Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Alhassan KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Potieria Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Kopylov Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Budka KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Potieria20-8
L Tulio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Pereira Submission · R1 May '24
W Bryczek Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Bellato KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23