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KJ
Pereira vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
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Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
KJ
Pereira vs Rountree Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
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Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MB
JA
Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
RD
KH
Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
KH
KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JB
ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
MR
Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
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Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TP
CE
Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pereira v Rountree Jr.
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3
VS
15-7 Rountree Jr.
6'4"
height
6'1"
251 lb
weight
205 lb
79"
reach
76"
38
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.8
54%
striking accuracy
39%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
61%
striking defence
46%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
0%
takedown accuracy
40%
92%
takedown defence
55%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ST
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“Pereira versus Khalil Rountree Jr. power from the left hook maybe Khalil Rountree Jr. can do it that that power Khalil Rountree Jr. is a very good management is on point”
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“Pereira versus Khalil Rountree Jr. power from the left hook maybe Khalil Rountree Jr. can do it that that power Khalil Rountree Jr. is a very good management is on point”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Alex Pereira
“moment I'm taking Alex Pereira to knock Alex Alex Pereira”
The Rambling Dad picks Alex Pereira
“moment I'm taking Alex Pereira to knock Alex Alex Pereira”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“I gotta go Pera there's something about Khalil Rountree Jr. where it's like my gut just doesn't love the mat”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“I gotta go Pera there's something about Khalil Rountree Jr. where it's like my gut just doesn't love the mat”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira Pereira is gonna chin him”
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira Pereira is gonna chin him”
CS
Calf Kick Sports picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“Khalil Rountree Jr. is Gonna Knock Alex Pereira out cold”
Calf Kick Sports picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“Khalil Rountree Jr. is Gonna Knock Alex Pereira out cold”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Alex Pereira
“I trust clearly go to Alex Pereira ... Alex Pereira gets it done just a better Alex Pereira I think he gets it done”
Dynes Sports picks Alex Pereira
“I trust clearly go to Alex Pereira ... Alex Pereira gets it done just a better Alex Pereira I think he gets it done”
TC
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira gets it done”
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira gets it done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“I don't mind some sprinkles on Khalil Rountree Jr. I don't mind some sprinkles on Ovince Saint Preux 7,000 just because Ryan Spann literally drops the ball time and time again he's very inconsistent sometimes he shows up and looks incredible sometimes he shows up and looks terrible and for that reason you have to sprinkle some Ovince Saint Preux and then I also mentioned Ihor Potieria who is another Dar throw type play very very cheap guy as well if he is able to get the takedowns could get very interesting and then uh the fade it's going to be Tecia Raquel Pennington 8,700 I just don't think her style meshes well from a EVENT_DETAILS perspective like I think she wins the fight uh potentially um but yeah she she her volume's decent I think that's the only thing I'll give her zero finishing upside she has the worst finish rate I think in the entire UFC at 16% uh zero takedown upside as well she's completing takedowns at a 14% accuracy so yeah I think uh Raquel Pennington's a pretty pretty easy fade there for me but yeah guys uh there you guys have it”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“I don't mind some sprinkles on Khalil Rountree Jr. I don't mind some sprinkles on Ovince Saint Preux 7,000 just because Ryan Spann literally drops the ball time and time again he's very inconsistent sometimes he shows up and looks incredible sometimes he shows up and looks terrible and for that reason you have to sprinkle some Ovince Saint Preux and then I also mentioned Ihor Potieria who is another Dar throw type play very very cheap guy as well if he is able to get the takedowns could get very interesting and then uh the fade it's going to be Tecia Raquel Pennington 8,700 I just don't think her style meshes well from a EVENT_DETAILS perspective like I think she wins the fight uh potentially um but yeah she she her volume's decent I think that's the only thing I'll give her zero finishing upside she has the worst finish rate I think in the entire UFC at 16% uh zero takedown upside as well she's completing takedowns at a 14% accuracy so yeah I think uh Raquel Pennington's a pretty pretty easy fade there for me but yeah guys uh there you guys have it”
DR
DRYWALL picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side ... by decision”
DRYWALL picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side ... by decision”
DR
DRYWALL picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Alex per is GNA win this fight he's going to win it by KO it's it's is he going to get it done in the first round because he is accidentally getting too good or is it GNA be the second round”
DRYWALL picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Alex per is GNA win this fight he's going to win it by KO it's it's is he going to get it done in the first round because he is accidentally getting too good or is it GNA be the second round”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereiraander Alex Pereiraander Hernandez Alex Pereiraander Hernandez should be the pick”
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereiraander Alex Pereiraander Hernandez Alex Pereiraander Hernandez should be the pick”
WP
We Want Picks picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“I think Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee wins”
We Want Picks picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“I think Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee wins”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24
Rountree Jr.15-7
L
Procházka
Oct '25
W
Hill
Jun '25
L
Pereira
Oct '24
W
Smith
Dec '23
W
Daukaus
Aug '23