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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hernandez v Hubbard
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 18-8
VS
17-10 Hubbard
5'9"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
72"
reach
71"
33
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.6
strikes landed / min
4.1
49%
striking accuracy
43%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
64%
striking defence
57%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
52%
takedown accuracy
34%
58%
takedown defence
67%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard
“I'm going to go with Austin Hubbard here I'm going to go Austin Hubbard I think reasons why I've gone for Austin Hubbard as well scribe yeah I'm taking Austin Hubbard as well”
The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard
“I'm going to go with Austin Hubbard here I'm going to go Austin Hubbard I think reasons why I've gone for Austin Hubbard as well scribe yeah I'm taking Austin Hubbard as well”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Austin Hubbard
“also going to take Austin Hubbard ... taking Austin Hubbard to outlast him ... picking Austin th Hub to beat him”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Austin Hubbard
“also going to take Austin Hubbard ... taking Austin Hubbard to outlast him ... picking Austin th Hub to beat him”
KU
Kunath picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I think that Austin Hubbard wins that fight gets his takedowns scores you a decent amount of points on EVENT_DETAILS as well”
Kunath picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I think that Austin Hubbard wins that fight gets his takedowns scores you a decent amount of points on EVENT_DETAILS as well”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Alexander Hernandez
“I do think Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez getss it done”
Dynes Sports picks Alexander Hernandez
“I do think Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez getss it done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“Roman delit 7,900 like I mentioned Striker versus Grappler matchup although Roman delit can strike um Kevin Holland can grapple I just think that delit is going to have the size Advantage here he's a guy that's fought at light heavyweight he's a guy that even has like one fight at heavyweight even he's going to be the bigger guy the stronger guy I think he's going to be the better Grappler”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“Roman delit 7,900 like I mentioned Striker versus Grappler matchup although Roman delit can strike um Kevin Holland can grapple I just think that delit is going to have the size Advantage here he's a guy that's fought at light heavyweight he's a guy that even has like one fight at heavyweight even he's going to be the bigger guy the stronger guy I think he's going to be the better Grappler”
DR
DRYWALL picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“Austin Hubbard beating down Alexander Hernandez ... the closer I get to this the more I love this money line”
DRYWALL picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“Austin Hubbard beating down Alexander Hernandez ... the closer I get to this the more I love this money line”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Austin Hubbard
“I'm going to pick Austin Hubbard”
Premium-Picks picks Austin Hubbard
“I'm going to pick Austin Hubbard”
FI
FightOwl picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I'm GNA go Austin Hubbard... if you forc me to pick on to me yet I would go Austin Hubbard as well”
FightOwl picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I'm GNA go Austin Hubbard... if you forc me to pick on to me yet I would go Austin Hubbard as well”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I have Austin ubber here I think again Alex Hernandez talented talented fighter but I I've seen him fade and lose confidence in in these fights that doesn't sit well with me and someone with Austin hubber who is coming off the uh the season with tough him doing doing good there he lost in the finale but I think he's just kind of getting started and I think his confidence is building working with these uh highlevel talented Champions um give me Austin h by decision”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE
“I have Austin ubber here I think again Alex Hernandez talented talented fighter but I I've seen him fade and lose confidence in in these fights that doesn't sit well with me and someone with Austin hubber who is coming off the uh the season with tough him doing doing good there he lost in the finale but I think he's just kind of getting started and I think his confidence is building working with these uh highlevel talented Champions um give me Austin h by decision”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Alexander Hernandez
“my subscribers and I went with um Alexander Hernandez um this is going to be a very tricky One reach Hernandez has the power um on the other hand um harbard is going to probably be the better Striker on the feied I think he has both accuracy and defense on his side uh eho is a layup fight for sea I mean eho is still young enough to improve that's that's what what people are not realizing for me personally I like to pick younger fighters not because the person who's probably going to be trying to improve is the guy who still has the ability or possibilities of becoming a champion at some point in their careers maybe Champion but he still lost his last fight you know um and he's 36 years old you know it's not like he's going to be um performing at his Peak I I hear that people are saying it's a layup maybe it is a layup but I'm not willing to sit here and say that almea is going to run through ehop po areia um a way to be proven wrong I'm sticking with Ihor Potieria I disagree with the fact that he's a layup um I think eh-o might shock a lot of people anyway Austin Hubbard will probably be a little bit better on the feed I think Alexander Hernandez this is going to be tricky I think in all honesty Austin Hubbard is [Music] O Austin Hubbard is probably the better fighter here I don't want to lie um yeah this is one of those fights I might potentially get wrong because I feel like Austin Hubbard is a better fighter to some extent but there are a couple of elements that make me feel like um herand is going to be able to win this fight um for example the volume um he throws a little bit more um he has power he has reach um there are a couple of elements that make me feel like Hernandez is going to win and that's why I picked him”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Alexander Hernandez
“my subscribers and I went with um Alexander Hernandez um this is going to be a very tricky One reach Hernandez has the power um on the other hand um harbard is going to probably be the better Striker on the feied I think he has both accuracy and defense on his side uh eho is a layup fight for sea I mean eho is still young enough to improve that's that's what what people are not realizing for me personally I like to pick younger fighters not because the person who's probably going to be trying to improve is the guy who still has the ability or possibilities of becoming a champion at some point in their careers maybe Champion but he still lost his last fight you know um and he's 36 years old you know it's not like he's going to be um performing at his Peak I I hear that people are saying it's a layup maybe it is a layup but I'm not willing to sit here and say that almea is going to run through ehop po areia um a way to be proven wrong I'm sticking with Ihor Potieria I disagree with the fact that he's a layup um I think eh-o might shock a lot of people anyway Austin Hubbard will probably be a little bit better on the feed I think Alexander Hernandez this is going to be tricky I think in all honesty Austin Hubbard is [Music] O Austin Hubbard is probably the better fighter here I don't want to lie um yeah this is one of those fights I might potentially get wrong because I feel like Austin Hubbard is a better fighter to some extent but there are a couple of elements that make me feel like um herand is going to be able to win this fight um for example the volume um he throws a little bit more um he has power he has reach um there are a couple of elements that make me feel like Hernandez is going to win and that's why I picked him”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Austin Hubbard
“give me the big dog give me Austin and I might put this on my betting lineup”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Austin Hubbard
“give me the big dog give me Austin and I might put this on my betting lineup”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hernandez18-8
L
García
Apr '26
W
Ferreira
Sep '25
W
Hooper
Aug '25
W
Holobaugh
Mar '25
W
Hubbard
Oct '24
Hubbard17-10
L
Zhu
Aug '25
L
Mederos
Mar '25
L
Hernandez
Oct '24
W
Figlak
Apr '24
L
Holobaugh
Aug '23