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Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bautista v Aldo
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bautista 16-3
VS
32-9 Aldo
5'9"
height
5'7"
135 lb
weight
143 lb
69"
reach
70"
33
age
39
Switch
stance
Orthodox
5.3
strikes landed / min
3.6
47%
striking accuracy
46%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
54%
striking defence
60%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
33%
takedown accuracy
53%
66%
takedown defence
92%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ST
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks José Aldo
“who do you got I got José Aldo I”
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks José Aldo
“who do you got I got José Aldo I”
IL
IBG Live picks Mario Bautista
“I got Mario Bautista I know a lot Mario Bautista about to whoop José Aldo ass”
IBG Live picks Mario Bautista
“I got Mario Bautista I know a lot Mario Bautista about to whoop José Aldo ass”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks José Aldo
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_44 taking José Aldo ... I got José Aldo here”
Capper Comparison Picks picks José Aldo
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_44 taking José Aldo ... I got José Aldo here”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks José Aldo
“José Aldo NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 José Aldo six of NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 losses are”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks José Aldo
“José Aldo NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 José Aldo six of NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 losses are”
EM
Elijah House MMA picks José Aldo
“I do have José Aldo winning ... José Aldo wins this fight relatively”
Elijah House MMA picks José Aldo
“I do have José Aldo winning ... José Aldo wins this fight relatively”
UG
UFC Genie picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo wins this fight seven times out of 10”
UFC Genie picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo wins this fight seven times out of 10”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks José Aldo VALUE
“lock of the week Jose José Aldo is my number one”
MMA EXPERTS picks José Aldo VALUE
“lock of the week Jose José Aldo is my number one”
CS
Calf Kick Sports picks Mario Bautista
“I just feel like Mario Bautista has got this man I think Mario Bautista has got this man I think Mario Bautista has got this man I think he's got it unfortunately for José Aldo”
Calf Kick Sports picks Mario Bautista
“I just feel like Mario Bautista has got this man I think Mario Bautista has got this man I think Mario Bautista has got this man I think he's got it unfortunately for José Aldo”
KU
Kunath picks Mario Bautista
“Mario Bautista I like him over José Aldo this week”
Kunath picks Mario Bautista
“Mario Bautista I like him over José Aldo this week”
DS
Dynes Sports picks José Aldo
“I like José Aldo here as the betting still got it I Tim Means José Aldo still got it striking advantage... I like José Aldo here I think all the he gets it done um like José Aldo here as the”
Dynes Sports picks José Aldo
“I like José Aldo here as the betting still got it I Tim Means José Aldo still got it striking advantage... I like José Aldo here I think all the he gets it done um like José Aldo here as the”
DR
DRYWALL picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“Mario Bautista's ground game is pretty damn good ... he'll even if he loses this fight fight which he's not going to lose the fight I like the money line here”
DRYWALL picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“Mario Bautista's ground game is pretty damn good ... he'll even if he loses this fight fight which he's not going to lose the fight I like the money line here”
DR
DRYWALL picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo by decision because how else would he win I don't think he's like he's not gonna knock him I want to think he can knock him out but he's not going to”
DRYWALL picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo by decision because how else would he win I don't think he's like he's not gonna knock him I want to think he can knock him out but he's not going to”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bautista16-3
W
Oliveira
Feb '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
W
Mix
Jun '25
W
Aldo
Oct '24
W
Simón
Jan '24
Aldo32-9
L
Zahabi
May '25
L
Bautista
Oct '24
W
Martinez
May '24
L
Dvalishvili
Aug '22
W
Font
Dec '21