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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moura v Hardy Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus65 picks · conf 74/99
Moura 33
32 Hardy
HUHMFM pick Moura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moura 12-1 VS 10-5-1 Hardy
5'6" height 5'4"
126 lb weight 124 lb
66" reach 64"
32 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.6 strikes landed / min 3.1
49% striking accuracy 45%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
53% striking defence 49%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
35% takedown accuracy 41%
100% takedown defence 55%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BS B ALL N Sports picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “Eduarda Moura wins this by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Eduarda Moura “I'm gonna go with Eduarda Moura”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “my subscribers and I went with edu MOA” $2.25
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Eduarda Moura “Eduarda Moura look good more looks scary okay Eduarda Moura is a scary chick dude her intensity is high”
DA Dawg picks Eduarda Moura “prediction eduarda Eduarda Moura potential Eduarda Moura to land more takedowns”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “I really like eduarda Eduarda Mourara this week” $2.15
HF Home of Fight picks Eduarda Moura “I think like I'm really excited that she's gone up in this weight Division I just you know just for the health of athletes I just uh I feel like they can perform so much better and I'm glad that she's taken the step more towards her health uh and I think she's aggressive she's great on the ground and I just think she's going to come for my head as you'd expect her”
CM Coty MMA picks Veronica Hardy “give me Veronica Hardy” $1.71
AD All-Star DFS picks Eduarda Moura VALUE “Eduarda Moura edar Mora I think is one of the best underdogs on the Slate in DFS plus 120 to win” $2.20
AD All-Star DFS picks Veronica Hardy “Veronica Veronica Hardy Veronica Hardy negative line value off a itd line don't see any takedown upside in this matchup so it's it's probably a full fade”
CT Combat Sports Today picks Veronica Hardy VALUE $1.91
SM SnJ MMA picks Veronica Hardy “I've got Veronica Hardy not a barn burner a barn Storer”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moura12-1
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Murphy Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Hardy Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Gomes Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Ruiz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
Hardy10-5-1
W Walker Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Moura Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Aldrich Decision · R3 May '24
W Horth Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Miller Decision · R3 Mar '23