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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Onama v Romero Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Onama 19
6 Romero
HOMRCG pick Onama
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Onama 13-2 VS 8-4-1 Romero
5'11" height 5'8"
146 lb weight 145 lb
74" reach 70"
32 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.6 strikes landed / min 4.9
50% striking accuracy 47%
5.1 strikes absorbed / min 8.1
52% striking defence 43%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
20% takedown accuracy 0%
52% takedown defence 66%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks David Onama VALUE “I'm gonna go for M brahimaj money line Oban Elliott's really good I think obon Elliott takes it”
GP Greedo Plays picks David Onama “what is David Onama's obsession with torian Prince”
BS B ALL N Sports picks David Onama “I am going to side with David Onama”
DR DRYWALL picks David Onama VALUE “Casey native why do I laugh when I say Casey native David Onama by KO or TKO uh he's fighting this guy who is really just taking this as an opportunity as a flyer screen”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks David Onama “my subscribers and I went with David orama” $1.10
ME MMA EXPERTS picks David Onama “I think that David Onama is gonna whoop this Roberto Romero kid he looks pretty good but I don't think he's ready for David Onama in a debut”
KU Kunath picks David Onama VALUE “you could easily come up to $200 more and play a guy like David Onama who's got a much better matchup”
CC Cody's Calls picks David Onama “David Onama is minus a thousand that's all you need to know” $1.10
AD All-Star DFS picks Roberto Romero “we'll leave out Roberto Romero and Craig”
AD All-Star DFS picks David Onama VALUE “nickel as a good play onama as a pretty fringey play”
CO ConquestMMA picks David Onama VALUE “I'm going tber [__]”
ZE ZerdahMMA picks Roberto Romero “we got to go by Roberto Romero's word and we got to trust that uh Roberto Romero is just a different Beast”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Onama13-2
L Garcia KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Romero Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Pearce Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Santos KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
Romero8-4-1
L Cuamba KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Onama Decision · R3 Nov '24