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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Araújo v Silva Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus67 picks · conf 75/99
Araújo 20
47 Silva
CMTAQS pick Araújo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Araújo 13-6 VS 19-6 Silva
height 5'5"
weight 125 lb
reach 67"
39 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 3.0
47% striking accuracy 38%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
56% striking defence 47%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
43% takedown accuracy 50%
80% takedown defence 0%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Viviane Araújo VALUE “I like Vio plus three and a half it's competitive MMA fight she's plus 240 on the money line which is a little weird in my opinion”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Karine Silva VALUE “Karine Silva wins this by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Viviane Araújo “I'm gonna take Viviane Araújo on the plus Viviane Araújo”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Karine Silva “my subscribers and I went with karini Silva” $1.34
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Karine Silva “I think Karine Silva wins Viviane Araújo is a tough girl but I don't see her going out and beating a really you know High Caliber Prospect”
EB ESPN BET picks Karine Silva VALUE “I do like karini Karine Silva here minus 300” $1.33
CO CombatOddsHQ picks Karine Silva “bottom line Karine Silva obviously favored for a reason she's on a hot streak and she has the tools to dominate if this fight finds the mat” $1.38
JC Jack Cassell picks Viviane Araújo “I'm gonna go with this one on the right for nothing other than she's a three to one favorite”
AD All-Star DFS picks Karine Silva VALUE “I'll put Karine Silva actually I'll put her as a fine play” $1.36
AD All-Star DFS picks Viviane Araújo “Viviane Araújo plus 240 I don't see much upside but I think it's one of these things where just because she's even semi-reasonable to win” $3.40
ST Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Karine Silva “I'm kind of leaning towards her especially after hearing that chick's knee snap”
GB Gilbert Burns picks Karine Silva “and we got Brazil against Brazil Viviane Araújo against Kar Silva I like vivu a lot you know we train together we have the same coach you know Daniel Evangel is my coach her coach to but I gotta go Kar see with think Karine Silva is a little bit better coming stronger bigger better striking strong solid I hope vivana wins but I think Kar is gonna win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Araújo13-6
L Cortez Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Silva Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Maia Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Ribas Decision · R3 Mar '23
Silva19-6
L Jasudavicius Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Barber Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Barbosa Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Araújo Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Lipski Decision · R3 Apr '24