MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Choose a fight to analyse
JJ SM Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight CO MC Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight BN PC Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight VA KS Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight MR JL Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight MM JM McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM DJ Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight DO RR Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight MT JD Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight RB MG Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight OE BH Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight EM VH Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Miller v Jackson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus79 picks · conf 78/99
Miller 41
38 Jackson
HCJNJR pick Miller
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Miller 38-19 VS 23-8-1 Jackson
5'8" height 5'11"
156 lb weight 155 lb
71" reach 71"
42 age 37
Southpaw stance Switch
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.0
42% striking accuracy 42%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
56% striking defence 49%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
44% takedown accuracy 32%
49% takedown defence 37%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jim Miller VALUE “I think Jim Miller keeps it close minus 150 odds will rock with Jim Miller”
GP Greedo Plays picks Damon Jackson VALUE “we are going with the Bucks”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Damon Jackson “I'm gonna have to go with Damon Jackson”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jim Miller VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Jim Miller” $2.10
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damon Jackson “Damon Jackson looks good on the scale tell me Damon Jackson doesn't look better than before he's gonna look good at 155 he looks big dude Damon Jackson normally looks am Ami on the scale he looks like a a dying crackhead he looks filled in holy [__] Damon Jackson looks good”
DA Dawg picks Damon Jackson “prediction Damon Damon Jackson potential avoid”
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Damon Jackson VALUE “I'm taking Damon Jackson”
EB ESPN BET picks Damon Jackson VALUE “I'm taking him over Jim Miller Jim Miller Miller” $1.57
SB SouthernTea Boxing-MMA & Sports Betting picks Damon Jackson “I'm going to go with the wrestling of Damon Jackson right and grind out a decision win over Jim Miller right Damen Jackson for the win”
CM Coty MMA picks Damon Jackson VALUE “give me Damon Damon Jackson” $2.55
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Damon Jackson VALUE “me voy a ir con Jim Miller pienso que va a ganar” $1.67
JC Jack Cassell picks Jim Miller “I think he's gonna beat Damon Jackson pretty bad only mainly because this guy's built like Flat Stanley”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Miller38-19
W Gordon Submission · R1 May '26
L Hooper Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Jackson Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Green Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Benítez Submission · R3 Jan '24
Jackson23-8-1
L Miller Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Mariscal Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Hernandez Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Quarantillo Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Ige KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23