Choose a fight to analyse
JJ
SM
Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight
CO
MC
Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
BN
PC
Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
VA
KS
Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
MR
JL
Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight
MM
JM
McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
DJ
Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DO
RR
Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MT
JD
Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RB
MG
Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
OE
BH
Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
EM
VH
Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
SM
Jones vs MiocicMain Card · Heavyweight
CO
MC
Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
BN
PC
Nickal vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
VA
KS
Araújo vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
MR
JL
Ruffy vs LlontopMain Card · Catchweight
MM
JM
McGhee vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
DJ
Miller vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
DO
RR
Onama vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MT
JD
Tybura vs DinizPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RB
MG
Brahimaj vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
OE
BH
Elliott vs HafezEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
EM
VH
Moura vs HardyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oliveira v Chandler
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 36-11
VS
23-10 Chandler
5'10"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
72"
36
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
4.5
48%
striking accuracy
50%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
53%
striking defence
43%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
44%
takedown accuracy
37%
57%
takedown defence
63%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“give me the Denver Nuggets to go to Memphis to the FedEx forum and beat the Memphis Grizzlies”
Greedo Plays picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“give me the Denver Nuggets to go to Memphis to the FedEx forum and beat the Memphis Grizzlies”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I think Charles Oliveira alivea I like Charles Oliveira to get the submission this time”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I think Charles Oliveira alivea I like Charles Oliveira to get the submission this time”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Charles Oliveira
“I really still want to pick Michael Chandler in this one”
B ALL N Sports picks Charles Oliveira
“I really still want to pick Michael Chandler in this one”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“Michael Chandler gets it done you know what I'm going to pick him in the second round this time Michael Chandler KO second round”
B ALL N Sports picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“Michael Chandler gets it done you know what I'm going to pick him in the second round this time Michael Chandler KO second round”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“Charles Oliveira wins this fight ... Charles Oliveira is minus 954 unfortunately”
$1.10
Capper Comparison Picks picks Charles Oliveira
“Charles Oliveira wins this fight ... Charles Oliveira is minus 954 unfortunately”
$1.10
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Charles Oliveira”
$1.40
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Oliveira
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Charles Oliveira”
$1.40
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I going to see Michael Chandler”
Elijah House MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I going to see Michael Chandler”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Oliveira
“favorite is Charles Oliveira and I'll hate to see Jon Jones beat old man Stipe Miocic my least favorite fight of the weekend uh I don't know I like everything on the card enough I'm hyped for this James Llontop versus Maurício Ruffy fight I hope Maurício Ruffy absolutely wrecks his [__] shot”
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Oliveira
“favorite is Charles Oliveira and I'll hate to see Jon Jones beat old man Stipe Miocic my least favorite fight of the weekend uh I don't know I like everything on the card enough I'm hyped for this James Llontop versus Maurício Ruffy fight I hope Maurício Ruffy absolutely wrecks his [__] shot”
CO
CombatOddsHQ picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I feel like it's pretty easy to say that Charles Oliveira has more than just a slight upper hand I would say about 70% Charles Oliveira to Michael Chandler 30%”
CombatOddsHQ picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I feel like it's pretty easy to say that Charles Oliveira has more than just a slight upper hand I would say about 70% Charles Oliveira to Michael Chandler 30%”
MM
Max Marks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say Charles wins”
Max Marks picks Charles Oliveira
“I'm going to say Charles wins”
CO
Covers picks Charles Oliveira
“if it goes a little bit past the first second round I think it favors Charles Oliveira”
Covers picks Charles Oliveira
“if it goes a little bit past the first second round I think it favors Charles Oliveira”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24
Chandler23-10
L
Ruffy
Jun '26
L
Pimblett
Apr '25
L
Oliveira
Nov '24
L
Poirier
Nov '22
W
Ferguson
May '22