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Steveson vs Ellison FREEPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CG
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Garbrandt vs Yañez FREEPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
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Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
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Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
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Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
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Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Riley vs Kamaka IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Costa vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Basharat vs GarzaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Durden
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
ACCosta 16-5
VS
18-10-1 DurdenCD
Costa 16-5
VS
18-10-1 DurdenCD
5'4"
height
5'7"
129 lb
weight
135 lb
67"
reach
67"
30
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.4
48%
striking accuracy
50%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
62%
striking defence
50%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
4.4
54%
takedown accuracy
50%
69%
takedown defence
73%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.9
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa16-5
W
MS
Schnell
Jun '26
Schnell
Jun '26
W
SN
Nicoll
Apr '26
Nicoll
Apr '26
L
AC
Coria
Sep '25
Coria
Sep '25
W
KB
Borjas
May '24
Borjas
May '24
L
SE
Erceg
Nov '23
Erceg
Nov '23
Durden18-10-1
W
JF
Filho
Apr '26
Filho
Apr '26
L
NT
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
L
AN
Nascimento
Nov '25
Nascimento
Nov '25
L
JO
Ochoa
Jun '25
Ochoa
Jun '25
L
JV
Van
Dec '24
Van
Dec '24
The model read
AI research · Pro
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FI
Fight_Numerology picks Alessandro Costa
“So I'm going with Alessandro Costa with early TKO in this one.”
Fight_Numerology picks Alessandro Costa
“So I'm going with Alessandro Costa with early TKO in this one.”
JU
JulianMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa to win this via TKO.”
JulianMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to pick Alessandro Costa to win this via TKO.”
AM
Artem MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm actually picking a Alessandro Costa round two knockout over Cody Durden, but a round one knockout wouldn't shock me too much, either.”
Artem MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm actually picking a Alessandro Costa round two knockout over Cody Durden, but a round one knockout wouldn't shock me too much, either.”
BE
BetSam picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“give me Alessandro Costa to go here and win by knockout”
BetSam picks Alessandro Costa VALUE
“give me Alessandro Costa to go here and win by knockout”
FF
Fightin With Friendz picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to go Alessandro Costa uh as a as a as a bit of a lock for me on this fight card.”
Fightin With Friendz picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to go Alessandro Costa uh as a as a as a bit of a lock for me on this fight card.”
GY
GypMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to take Alessandro Costa by round two TKO.”
GypMMA picks Alessandro Costa
“I'm going to take Alessandro Costa by round two TKO.”
RM
Recon MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“But we're going to be going with the favorite uh Alessandro Costa to win with a KOT TKO in round number two.”
Recon MMA picks Alessandro Costa
“But we're going to be going with the favorite uh Alessandro Costa to win with a KOT TKO in round number two.”
CE
CerroneMacaroni picks Alessandro Costa
“give me Alessandro Costa by uh he's gonna KO Cody Durden.”
CerroneMacaroni picks Alessandro Costa
“give me Alessandro Costa by uh he's gonna KO Cody Durden.”
RA
RamiMMA picks Cody Durden
“give me Cody Durden by decision”
RamiMMA picks Cody Durden
“give me Cody Durden by decision”
BR
Bryarimma picks Alessandro Costa
“Give me Alzandra Alessandro Costa in this fight.”
Bryarimma picks Alessandro Costa
“Give me Alzandra Alessandro Costa in this fight.”