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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Saint Denis v Pimblett
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Saint Denis 16-3
VS
23-3 Pimblett
5'11"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
73"
reach
73"
30
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.9
40%
striking accuracy
53%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
73%
striking defence
40%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
57%
takedown accuracy
25%
54%
takedown defence
52%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm pumped for the Paddy Pimblett. I think he's going to win.”
The MMA-Holes picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm pumped for the Paddy Pimblett. I think he's going to win.”
SW
SWGMMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I think Benoît Saint Denis is going to get this one done. Third round TKO.”
SWGMMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I think Benoît Saint Denis is going to get this one done. Third round TKO.”
AP
Apfel picks Benoît Saint Denis
“give me Benoît Saint Denis by TKO sub”
Apfel picks Benoît Saint Denis
“give me Benoît Saint Denis by TKO sub”
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis.”
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Paddy Pimblett
“You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett cuz I think this fight's going to go like it's either Patty actually knocks out Benoît Saint Denis because we've seen him just have a sus chin before.”
DIORPIUM picks Paddy Pimblett
“You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett cuz I think this fight's going to go like it's either Patty actually knocks out Benoît Saint Denis because we've seen him just have a sus chin before.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Benoît Saint Denis
“opportunistic submissions from Benoît Saint Denis”
CertifiedMMAsian picks Benoît Saint Denis
“opportunistic submissions from Benoît Saint Denis”
C5
Carter Boyzzz 513 picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning it either by submission or by a KO.”
Carter Boyzzz 513 picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning it either by submission or by a KO.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think I'm gonna pick Paddy Pimblett to win this one by knockout.”
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think I'm gonna pick Paddy Pimblett to win this one by knockout.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“my pick, give me the man who had some good moments against the current champion. Give me Paddy Pimblett to make the improvements defensively in the striking and be able to get this fight to the ground and out control Benoît Saint Denis Saint Denise early on in this fight. And I actually think that I'm going to go with Paddy Pimblett by second round submission after dealing with some adversity early on but probably catching a kick and getting to BSD's back out controlling him hitting him with ground and pounding sinking in a rear naked choke in late round two.”
Work Break MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“my pick, give me the man who had some good moments against the current champion. Give me Paddy Pimblett to make the improvements defensively in the striking and be able to get this fight to the ground and out control Benoît Saint Denis Saint Denise early on in this fight. And I actually think that I'm going to go with Paddy Pimblett by second round submission after dealing with some adversity early on but probably catching a kick and getting to BSD's back out controlling him hitting him with ground and pounding sinking in a rear naked choke in late round two.”
TL
The Burt Locker picks Benoît Saint Denis
“On balance, I am taking Benois Saint in this one.”
The Burt Locker picks Benoît Saint Denis
“On balance, I am taking Benois Saint in this one.”
PP
Pure Picks picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett by submission.”
Pure Picks picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett by submission.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to take Paddy Pimblett here to win this fight.”
Voice of MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to take Paddy Pimblett here to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Saint Denis16-3
W
Hooker
Feb '26
W
Dariush
Nov '25
W
Ruffy
Sep '25
W
Prepolec
May '25
L
Moicano
Sep '24
Pimblett23-3
L
Gaethje
Jan '26
W
Chandler
Apr '25
W
Green
Jul '24
W
Ferguson
Dec '23
W
Gordon
Dec '22