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McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
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Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
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Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
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Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
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Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Royval v Kavanagh
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7
VS
9-1 Kavanagh
5'9"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
68"
reach
67"
33
age
27
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.1
39%
striking accuracy
50%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
47%
striking defence
54%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
75%
takedown accuracy
40%
45%
takedown defence
82%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SW
SWGMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to go Lone'er Kavanagh wins this one second round TKO.”
SWGMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to go Lone'er Kavanagh wins this one second round TKO.”
MA
MassTechMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“probably go with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
MassTechMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“probably go with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
AP
Apfel picks Brandon Royval
“Give me Brandon Royval”
Apfel picks Brandon Royval
“Give me Brandon Royval”
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to take Lone'er Kavanagh here just cuz he's younger.”
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to take Lone'er Kavanagh here just cuz he's younger.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Brandon Royval
“I'm going with Brandon Royval just based off experience just ah man.”
DIORPIUM picks Brandon Royval
“I'm going with Brandon Royval just based off experience just ah man.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“Give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win. I'm not entirely sure if it's going to be knockout or decision as of yet. I lean decision, but you know, when I see odds as the week progresses, my mind might change. But right now, give me Lone'er Kavanagh by decision or fight to go to decision.”
CertifiedMMAsian picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“Give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win. I'm not entirely sure if it's going to be knockout or decision as of yet. I lean decision, but you know, when I see odds as the week progresses, my mind might change. But right now, give me Lone'er Kavanagh by decision or fight to go to decision.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to pick Leonardo Lone'er Kavanagh to win this one by decision.”
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to pick Leonardo Lone'er Kavanagh to win this one by decision.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win this fight by a 29-28 decision, outstriking Brandon Royval in rounds one and two before gassing out and making the last round close.”
Work Break MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win this fight by a 29-28 decision, outstriking Brandon Royval in rounds one and two before gassing out and making the last round close.”
TI
The Fighter Index picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“The fighter index verdict is that Lone'er Lone'er Kavanagh wins this fight.”
The Fighter Index picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“The fighter index verdict is that Lone'er Lone'er Kavanagh wins this fight.”
PP
Pure Picks picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to side with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
Pure Picks picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I'm going to side with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
CO
CollabZZZ picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I got Loner by decision with the upset.”
CollabZZZ picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“I got Loner by decision with the upset.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“Lone'er Kavanagh is going to win this fight.”
Voice of MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh
“Lone'er Kavanagh is going to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L
Kape
Dec '25
L
Van
Jun '25
W
Taira
Oct '24
W
Moreno
Feb '24
L
Pantoja
Dec '23
Kavanagh9-1
W
Moreno
Feb '26
L
Johnson
Aug '25
W
Santos
Mar '25
W
Ochoa
Nov '24