Choose a fight to analyse
LR
KI
Riley vs Kamaka III FREEPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
KI
Riley vs Kamaka III FREEPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pinas v Almeida
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pinas 8-1
VS
6-1 Almeida
6'1"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
79"
reach
74"
24
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
—
strikes landed / min
4.1
—
striking accuracy
57%
—
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
—
striking defence
47%
—
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
—
takedown accuracy
0%
—
takedown defence
57%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Moí Díaz Combat Pubcast picks Damian Pinas
“put it on your pre or on your parlay. Damian Pinas”
$1.50
SW
SWGMMA picks Damian Pinas
“I'm going to get him to take him to get it done in the second round.”
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks César Almeida
“Yeah, I'm picking Caesar Ala.”
SM
Shy Guy MMA picks Damian Pinas
“I'm going to go with Damian Pinas Damian Pinas winning uh money line over NOT_IN_ROSTER_16.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Damian Pinas
“I'm going to go Damian Pinas by decision.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Damian Pinas
“Give me Damian Pinas by knockout, man.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Damian Pinas
“I'm going to pick Damian Pinas to just go out there and chin César Almeida in the first round.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Damian Pinas
“give me Damian Pinas Damian Pinas to win this fight by an explosive first round knockout and get a massive jump up in the rankings.”
PP
Pure Picks picks César Almeida
“I'm actually going to go with the veteran César Almeida.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Damian Pinas
“I'm gonna take Damian Pinas to win this fight pretty comfortably.”
FC
Fight For Casuals picks Damian Pinas
“I'm rooting for Damian Pinas here. I'm I'm going to go for I'm going for Damian Pinas.”
WO
wokski picks Damian Pinas
“I think Damian Pinas is gonna, you know, finish him at some point later on in the fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pinas8-1
W
Schultz
Feb '26
Almeida6-1
L
Oleksiejczuk
Dec '25
W
Alhassan
Jan '25
W
Potieria
Oct '24
L
Kopylov
Jun '24
W
Budka
Apr '24