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Riley vs Kamaka III FREEPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
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McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
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Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
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Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
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Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
KI
Riley vs Kamaka III FREEPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs Bautista FREEMain Card · Bantamweight
CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Bautista
over Sandhagen · Bantamweight
Our fair value$2.22
pays above fair
$2.35
Best prices · Bautista
DraftKings · US
$2.30
Betfair Sportsbook · UK
$2.25
Pinnacle · EU
$2.32
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$2.35
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Where to back Bautista
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.22
US
DraftKings
$2.30
+4%
DraftKings
$2.30
+4%
UK
Betfair Sportsbook
$2.25
+1%
Betfair Sportsbook
$2.25
+1%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.32
+4%
Pinnacle
$2.32
+4%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$2.35
+6%
Ladbrokes AU
$2.35
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.38
How it endsmethod calls · Bautista · crowd line
Submission
2
$6.67
Decision
4
$3.33
Polymarket props · Bautista
KO/TKO $2.02
O/U 2.5 Rounds O $2.02 U $1.98O/U 0.5 Rounds O $2.04 U $1.96
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sandhagen 18-6
VS
16-3 Bautista
5'11"
height
5'9"
134 lb
weight
135 lb
70"
reach
69"
34
age
33
Switch
stance
Switch
3.9
strikes landed / min
5.3
53%
striking accuracy
47%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
52%
striking defence
54%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
66%
takedown accuracy
33%
83%
takedown defence
66%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 43%
Consensus16 of 31 analysts
Line move · 7d$2.30 → $2.35
Sharpest angleBautista by Decision — 4 of 6 method calls
Recommendation
Back Bautista @ $2.35 · fair $2.22
+6% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SW
SWGMMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm taking Mario Batista by second round submission. I'm high on Mario Bautista.”
SWGMMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm taking Mario Batista by second round submission. I'm high on Mario Bautista.”
PL
platypus_mma picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to say is Mario Bautista will win against Cory Sandhagen”
platypus_mma picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to say is Mario Bautista will win against Cory Sandhagen”
AP
Apfel picks Cory Sandhagen
“I would give him the win because Mario Bautista, he's just a weird guy”
Apfel picks Cory Sandhagen
“I would give him the win because Mario Bautista, he's just a weird guy”
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going to take Cory Sandhagen by I'm going to say a 2928 decision.”
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going to take Cory Sandhagen by I'm going to say a 2928 decision.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Mario Bautista
“I'm gonna say Mario Bautista robbery decision and everyone's mad.”
DIORPIUM picks Mario Bautista
“I'm gonna say Mario Bautista robbery decision and everyone's mad.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Mario Bautista
“I lean Mario Bautista decision just like 5545 just because he's the underdog here and I think it's a close fight.”
CertifiedMMAsian picks Mario Bautista
“I lean Mario Bautista decision just like 5545 just because he's the underdog here and I think it's a close fight.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna pick Cory Sandhagen in here to get this one done by decision.”
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna pick Cory Sandhagen in here to get this one done by decision.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna have to go with Cory Sandhagen here to win a very close split decision fight where his damage and the striking gets it done.”
Work Break MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna have to go with Cory Sandhagen here to win a very close split decision fight where his damage and the striking gets it done.”
PP
Pure Picks picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go with Mario Bautista by decision.”
Pure Picks picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go with Mario Bautista by decision.”
CO
CollabZZZ picks Cory Sandhagen
“my gut is telling me Cory Cory Sandhagen by decision.”
CollabZZZ picks Cory Sandhagen
“my gut is telling me Cory Cory Sandhagen by decision.”
DP
Dude Gameison ~ Ai Fight Predictions picks Cory Sandhagen
“Some decisions are different than others, and his striking really did separate him from the competition. He fought so well in the standup game that he should get a very easy decision.”
Dude Gameison ~ Ai Fight Predictions picks Cory Sandhagen
“Some decisions are different than others, and his striking really did separate him from the competition. He fought so well in the standup game that he should get a very easy decision.”
VM
Voice of MMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm taking Mario Bautista here.”
Voice of MMA picks Mario Bautista
“I'm taking Mario Bautista here.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sandhagen18-6
L
Dvalishvili
Oct '25
W
Figueiredo
May '25
L
Nurmagomedov
Aug '24
W
Font
Aug '23
W
Vera
Mar '23
Bautista16-3
W
Oliveira
Feb '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
W
Mix
Jun '25
W
Aldo
Oct '24
W
Simón
Jan '24