MMA Prophecy
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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read McGregor v Holloway Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus123 picks · conf 97/99
McGregor 65
58 Holloway
PPTMRP pick McGregor
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McGregor 22-6 VS 0-0 Holloway
5'9" height 5'11"
156 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 69"
37 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 6.8
49% striking accuracy 46%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
54% striking defence 59%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
55% takedown accuracy 39%
66% takedown defence 79%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CZ Court ZenixHQ picks Max Holloway “I do think in this matchup I think that Max Holloway Hollow is going to beat Conor McGregor.”
CA Court Audit picks Max Holloway “I think that Max Holloway is going to beat Conor McGregor.”
MP Moí Díaz Combat Pubcast picks Max Holloway “as of right now, Max Holloway Max Holloway over Conor McGregor” $1.42
TM The MMA-Holes picks Conor McGregor “I think Conor McGregor is going to beat Max Holloway up on the feed.”
BD Backstage Drama picks Max Holloway “I'm picking Max Holloway to win this fight. By the way, just before we get into anything, I'm picking Max Holloway Max Holloway to win the fight. And I'm picking Max Holloway to win the fight with very high confidence.”
SW SWGMMA picks Conor McGregor “I'm taking Conor McGregor by second round TKO over Max Holloway.”
CC Combat Codex picks Conor McGregor “I've said Conor McGregor. I think is going to”
MN MMA Cage News picks Max Holloway “NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 has shared his prediction for the highly anticipated EVENT_DETAILS showdown, and he believes Max Holloway will come out on top against Conor McGregor.”
MJ MMA Junkie picks Conor McGregor “I personally I think I would give it to Conor McGregor.”
FI fightorbitx picks Max Holloway “No, I think that Max Holloway going to win. I'm super from Max Holloway, you know, but he's fighting more, you know, and Conor McGregor is 5 years without fight, so I don't think he going to beat the Max Holloway Holloway.”
FI fightorbitx picks Conor McGregor “Personally, I think because of that welterweight, I see Conor McGregor knocking him out.”
TH TheMacLife picks Conor McGregor “I'm going through, Max Holloway. It is what it is. Max Holloway, you're not going to lay a glove on me. It's another world here against me. And it's another world at this weight. Conor McGregor. Too easy.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McGregor22-6
L Poirier KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21
L Poirier KO/TKO · R2 Jan '21
W Cerrone KO/TKO · R1 Jan '20
L Nurmagomedov Submission · R4 Oct '18
W Alvarez KO/TKO · R2 Nov '16
Holloway0-0
L Oliveira Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Poirier Decision · R5 Jul '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Gaethje KO/TKO · R5 Apr '24
W Chan-sung KO/TKO · R3 Aug '23