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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fugitt v Miller Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus177 picks · conf 99/99
Fugitt 33
144 Miller
TSTMRB pick Fugitt
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fugitt 10-5 VS 6-0 Miller
6'1" height 6'2"
171 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 77"
37 age 26
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min —
45% striking accuracy —
4.5 strikes absorbed / min —
51% striking defence —
2.0 takedowns / 15 min —
29% takedown accuracy —
50% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Ty Miller VALUE “I have Ty Miller by knockout”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Ty Miller VALUE
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Adam Fugitt “a small bet on Adam Fugitt as well.”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Ty Miller
LI liltoaster picks Ty Miller “Ty Miller. I'm going time also.”
LI liltoaster picks Adam Fugitt “Adam Fugitt. Adam Fugitt is about to destroy.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ty Miller “Ty Miller. You know, I'm just taking Sorry. just taking him by um decision.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ty Miller “the way he's built is stupid, bro. I I ain't trying to say nothing about nobody, no other man figure, but that [__] look like a [__] Greek god or some [__] bro.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Adam Fugitt “I'm going to go with Ty Miller by decision.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Ty Miller “I'm going to go with Ty Miller by decision.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Ty Miller “it's a welterweight belt that's probably going to go to a decision. Um, and it's uh going to be on Ty Miller's side, I believe.”
MT Mic Talks picks Adam Fugitt “Adam Fugitt, NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 NOT_IN_ROSTER_7. NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 Ty Miller, NOT_IN_ROSTER_61 NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 NOT_IN_ROSTER_11”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fugitt10-5
L Miller KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
L Dulatov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Quinlan Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Malott Submission · R2 Jun '23
W Kinoshita KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Miller6-0
W Fugitt KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26