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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Silva v Namajunas Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus266 picks · conf 99/99
Silva 211
55 Namajunas
CCDIMR pick Silva
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva 19-5-1 VS 15-7 Namajunas
5'4" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 126 lb
65" reach 65"
29 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 3.7
47% striking accuracy 42%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
64% striking defence 63%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
25% takedown accuracy 50%
91% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Natália Silva VALUE “I think Natália Silva is going to style on her out there for three rounds. It's probably going to be a 3027 decision.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Natália Silva VALUE “My girlfriend Natália Silva is fighting Rose Namajunas”
FI FightCircuit picks Natália Silva VALUE “I think Natália Silva wants a decision”
LI liltoaster picks Natália Silva “It's actually Natália Silva. My bad. We're going Natália Silva.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Natália Silva “Natália Silva. I just can't wait to see Rose Namajunas get knocked out... Give me a Natália Silva by a decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Rose Namajunas “I got Rose Namajunas. I got to go to Rose Namajunas.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Natália Silva “I've got Natalia Silva winning decision. Um, probably 29, 28, 30, 27.”
JA Javianfighttalk picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “I'm going with Rose Namajunas.”
TP The Touch Gloves Podcast picks Natália Silva VALUE “I have to pick Natália Silva by decision.”
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Natália Silva “Natália Silva by decision uh right now.”
SP SportsLine picks Natália Silva “Natália Silva is on an absolute role, and over Rose Namajunas... I don't think Rose Namajunas can out”
MM Mayor MMA picks Natália Silva “I'm picking Nataly Silva. I decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva19-5-1
W Namajunas Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Grasso Decision · R3 May '25
W Andrade Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Araújo Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Lee Decision · R3 Aug '23
Namajunas15-7
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Maverick Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Blanchfield Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Cortez Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Ribas Decision · R5 Mar '24