MMA Prophecy
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Krylov v Bukauskas Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus196 picks · conf 99/99
Krylov 78
118 Bukauskas
CSLSLG pick Krylov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Krylov 30-11 VS 19-7 Bukauskas
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
78" reach 78"
34 age 32
Orthodox stance Switch
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
55% striking accuracy 47%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
44% striking defence 64%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
38% takedown accuracy 30%
53% takedown defence 58%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FI FightCircuit picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 is going to finish him either way”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Nikita Krylov
LI liltoaster picks Modestas Bukauskas “So, um he's gonna I think he's going to get knocked out.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Modestas Bukauskas “give me Boas by decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Nikita Krylov “I'm picking Nikita Krylov just because this, he has if you, if you, I mean, he he has to win this fight.”
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “I'm going to go with Modestas Bukauskas.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Modestas Bukauskas “he's going to win by uh probably a second round uh second round um TKO finish.”
SP SportsLine picks Nikita Krylov “Give me Nikita Krylov to prove people that he his opponent Modestas Bukauskas.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas “want to lay a minus number on Modestas Bukauskas ... Modestas Bukauskas probably knocks him out.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Modestas Bukauskas “I'm leaning Modestas Bukauskas on this one.”
MK Morning Kombat picks Modestas Bukauskas “I actually think Modestas Bukauskas is gonna win”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Nikita Krylov “Nikita Krylov to win by submission” $6.75
Recent form last five, most recent first
Krylov30-11
W Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
L Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Spann Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Oct '22
Bukauskas19-7
W Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25