MMA Prophecy
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Allen v Silva Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus340 picks · conf 99/99
Allen 133
207 Silva
DCSBRM pick Allen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Allen 20-4 VS 16-3 Silva
5'8" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 69"
32 age 29
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 3.7
41% striking accuracy 41%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
61% striking defence 68%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
47% takedown accuracy 43%
75% takedown defence 51%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Jean Silva VALUE “I think Arnold Allen goes out there, grapples the [ __ ] out of Jean Silva, and we get the same result as last time. I think Jean Silva gets overly confident. I think he hurts Arnold Allen, and I think Arnold Allen grapples him for three rounds for a decision win.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Arnold Allen VALUE “Arnold Allen is so or off a long layoff”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Jean Silva VALUE “Jean Silva will do um get that victory over Arnold Allen, get Dererick or Waldo Cortes-Acosta potentially how long think Jean Silva when he slimes out good guy”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jean Silva VALUE “I believe Jean Silva will get a done”
FI FightCircuit picks Arnold Allen VALUE “I think I got Jean Silva winning decision”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Arnold Allen
LI liltoaster picks Arnold Allen “I'm going Arnold Allen.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Jean Silva “Uh I got Jean Silva on this one.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Arnold Allen VALUE “I think Arnold Allen could be him.” $3.20
BI BigMoneyMMA picks Arnold Allen “Final prediction Arnold Allen by decision.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Arnold Allen “I do also see G uh Arnold Allen uh grinding away to a nice uh 2928 victory.”
JA Javianfighttalk picks Jean Silva VALUE “I feel like he's the Jean Silva.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Allen20-4
W Costa Decision · R5 May '26
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Evloev Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Holloway Decision · R5 Apr '23
Silva16-3
W Allen Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Mitchell Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Baghdasaryan KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24