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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tulio v Potieria Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus52 picks · conf 70/99
Tulio 44
8 Potieria
TMBAPT pick Tulio
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tulio 14-2 VS 20-8 Potieria
6'0" height 6'3"
185 lb weight 188 lb
74" reach 75"
32 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.6
60% striking accuracy 50%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
64% striking defence 50%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
55% takedown accuracy 18%
89% takedown defence 66%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TA TakeDownTalks picks Marco Tulio “clear path to Victory Marco Tulio versus Ihor Potieria Marco Tulio is the more”
MA MMA Attic picks Ihor Potieria VALUE “with our only upset prediction of the prelims Marco Tulio versus Ihor Potieria we are going with Ihor Potieria at the massive plus 350” $4.50
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Marco Tulio “eu tô indo de Marco Tulio”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Ihor Potieria VALUE “potieria higher”
MM Mayor MMA picks Marco Tulio “I'm taking Marco Julio”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Marco Tulio VALUE “tiene sentido de que se imponga acá” $1.20
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marco Tulio “the pick is Marco Tulio” $1.22
KU Kunath picks Marco Tulio “I think Ihor Potieria gets finished and probably finished early”
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Marco Tulio “I'm pretty sure that the Brazilian gets it done in this fight”
GM GLO MMA picks Marco Tulio “I am picking Magomed Gadzhiyasulovarco um I don't think ehor is in it anymore”
MM Mick MMA picks Ihor Potieria VALUE “I gotta say this might be a good one to go with the underdog on I don't like the five in one record versus someone who's eight and two and she has a known contest too so that could have been something weird she does have a significant height and reach Advantage however I I feel like I'm feeling I'm betting on this girl Nicole over here to bring her down and try to get some sort of submission going”
TP Tony's Picks picks Marco Tulio VALUE “I like Marco Sila to get it done he comes from the cute shoot box uh gym I like Marco Sylvia to win in this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tulio14-2
L Kopylov Decision · R3 May '26
L Duncan KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Gore KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
Potieria20-8
L Tulio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Pereira Submission · R1 May '24
W Bryczek Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Bellato KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23