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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bunes v Johnson Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
Bunes 18
37 Johnson
TPDMMT pick Bunes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bunes 14-8 VS 16-9 Johnson
5'7" height 6'0"
125 lb weight 125 lb
69" reach 72"
36 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 2.2
54% striking accuracy 57%
8.7 strikes absorbed / min 1.6
41% striking defence 52%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
33% takedown accuracy 60%
0% takedown defence 38%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA MMA Attic picks Jose Johnson “finally we have Jose Jose Johnson versus Felipe Bunes and the model once again is taking the favorite of Jose Johnson at minus 185” $1.54
TD The Rambling Dad picks Jose Johnson “I'm going with Jose Johnson”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jose Johnson “I'm taking Jose Johnson here I want to um yeah I'm gonna take Jose Johnson”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Felipe Bunes VALUE “a minha aposta é uma vitória do bns”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Jose Johnson “we got Jose Johnson versus Felipe Bunes Johnson Miss weight this is one where I'm a little concerned I think that weight might actually help him he looks confident he's got a size Advantage he's taller he's longer um I think a lot of people like buess here but I'm not touching that fight I'm not touching that fight of have a feeling that's one of those where Johnson comes out Victorious”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Felipe Bunes VALUE “Felipe Felipe Buneses money line plus 160” $2.60
MM Mayor MMA picks Jose Johnson “I'm still going to pick Jose Jose Johnson”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Jose Johnson VALUE “I think I'll go Jose Johnson Jose Johnson Johnson to win this”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jose Johnson VALUE “pick Jose Jose Johnson” $1.61
DS David STRIKESFIRST picks Felipe Bunes “I see Johnson getting it done uh last time I saw him he his his striking was super clean uh and and uh Felipe sometimes he quits or just doesn't have the right mentality”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Jose Johnson VALUE “I believe that he'll utilize that length and reach to keep Felipe bues at distance really get into his Groove with his striking and then from there really start to pick him apart and end up winning this fight on the scorecards”
MM Mick MMA picks Jose Johnson “it might be a good idea to give this one to Jose Johnson because of his attributes maybe Felipe Bunes you know could get some good grappling exchanges but I just I just don't see how he's going to deal with someone who's six foot in the flyweight division”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bunes14-8
L Cháirez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Estevam Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Johnson Submission · R1 Jan '25
L Van KO/TKO · R2 Jan '24
Johnson16-9
L Bunes Submission · R1 Jan '25
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Anheliger Submission · R3 Nov '23
L Blackshear Submission · R1 Aug '23