Choose a fight to analyse
MD
AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ponzinibbio v Harris
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ponzinibbio 30-8
VS
19-7 Harris
6'0"
height
6'0"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
73"
reach
76"
39
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.2
41%
striking accuracy
49%
4.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
61%
striking defence
52%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
32%
takedown accuracy
29%
66%
takedown defence
55%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Carlston Harris VALUE
“give me Orlando in this spot I think it's a really good spot too minus 1225 will take that all day long give me the magic at home to beat the Philadelphia 76ers”
Greedo Plays picks Carlston Harris VALUE
“give me Orlando in this spot I think it's a really good spot too minus 1225 will take that all day long give me the magic at home to beat the Philadelphia 76ers”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Carlston Harris
“I'm going with Carlston Harris”
The Rambling Dad picks Carlston Harris
“I'm going with Carlston Harris”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“eu queria apostar em você cara Queria muito apostar no Santiago Ponzinibbio mas não dá”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“eu queria apostar em você cara Queria muito apostar no Santiago Ponzinibbio mas não dá”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Carlston Harris
“a minha aposta é Vitória do magomet”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Carlston Harris
“a minha aposta é Vitória do magomet”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Carlston Harris
“I think Carlson Harris has genuine talent but I think he is a dirty cheat ... if he can't impose his pressure and pick out from the outside land his shots correctly I see Santiago ponzano pressuring him against the cage just volume destroying him”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Carlston Harris
“I think Carlson Harris has genuine talent but I think he is a dirty cheat ... if he can't impose his pressure and pick out from the outside land his shots correctly I see Santiago ponzano pressuring him against the cage just volume destroying him”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Carlston Harris
“Carlston Harris for S Santiago Ponzinibbio is very interesting I don't have a side picked but you know if I had to I'd pick Carlon Harris he's got a little bit of a size Advantage there um I think that he is probably GNA win this fight”
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Carlston Harris
“Carlston Harris for S Santiago Ponzinibbio is very interesting I don't have a side picked but you know if I had to I'd pick Carlon Harris he's got a little bit of a size Advantage there um I think that he is probably GNA win this fight”
MM
Mayor MMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I'm picking P nibio”
Mayor MMA picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I'm picking P nibio”
JO
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlston Harris VALUE
“I would go for Carlston Harris to get this one done”
JorgeFlyingKnee picks Carlston Harris VALUE
“I would go for Carlston Harris to get this one done”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE
“si me voy más con el argentino”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE
“si me voy más con el argentino”
KU
Kunath picks Carlston Harris
“I'll probably end up playing Carlston Harris”
Kunath picks Carlston Harris
“I'll probably end up playing Carlston Harris”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I think Argentinian dagger is walking away with the W in this fight”
MMA Pros Pick picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I think Argentinian dagger is walking away with the W in this fight”
DS
David STRIKESFIRST picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I really see Santiago getting it done”
David STRIKESFIRST picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“I really see Santiago getting it done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ponzinibbio30-8
L
Rodriguez
May '25
W
Harris
Jan '25
L
Salikhov
Jul '24
L
Holland
Apr '23
W
Morono
Dec '22
Harris19-7
L
Matthews
May '26
L
Ponzinibbio
Jan '25
L
Williams
May '24
W
Wells
Aug '23
W
Gooden
Mar '23