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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodriguez v Bashi Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus64 picks · conf 74/99
Rodriguez 24
40 Bashi
bPTMCR pick Rodriguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodriguez 12-4 VS 13-0 Bashi
5'7" height 5'6"
146 lb weight 145 lb
72" reach 70"
28 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 2.7
47% striking accuracy 52%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
58% striking defence 47%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 18.2
54% takedown accuracy 66%
65% takedown defence 75%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 3.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA MMA Attic picks Austin Bashi “we're riding with the undefeated newcomer Austin Bashi at minus 225” $1.44
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Christian Rodriguez “I got Christian Rodriguez bro all day long bro ... give me Christian Rodriguez bro like Christian Rodriguez all day all money on it Christian Rodriguez”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Austin Bashi VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Austin Bashi Christian rodrig RZ is the underdog at plus 195 Austin B is the favorite at minus 235” $1.43
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Austin Bashi VALUE “acho que vai dar a vitória da zebra que é o Rodriguez”
AM Ain't No Way MMA picks Austin Bashi VALUE “I really like Austin Bashi style ... he's very athletic and he has very slick grappling ... I feel like Arosa has like one of those really deadly Guillotines ... but I'm hoping the actually older fighter in Christian Rodriguez ... we'll see who lasts but this honestly is like a 50-50 fight for me so it'll be exciting to see who wins”
AM Ain't No Way MMA picks Christian Rodriguez VALUE “I want to lean for Christian Rodriguez ... I like Christian Rodriguez a lot I think he's extremely underrated he's really good at busting these you know new prospects”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Christian Rodriguez “next fight up on the stage we have Bruno Silva verse the Russian I you know if I was to place a bit I'd have to lean Silva's way I'm staying off this fight um gof is big but he has not impressed me so there you go”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Austin Bashi VALUE “I'm going to say Austin Bashi with grappling dominance for the win” $1.37
KU Kunath picks Christian Rodriguez VALUE “I think in a situation like this it makes more sense to just have a bet on Christian Rodriguez”
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Austin Bashi “I think Bashi gets it done I think advances that people have paid out on Bashi”
DS David STRIKESFIRST picks Christian Rodriguez “CR Rod has gotten it done before uh and so I see him getting this win possibly uh”
GM GLO MMA picks Austin Bashi “I'm picking Austin bashy Austin bash's a wrestler um undefeated 13 and0”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodriguez12-4
W Amil Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Fili Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Bashi Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Erosa Submission · R1 Jul '24
Bashi13-0
W Yannis Submission · R1 Aug '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jan '25