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Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
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AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
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Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
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Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
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Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
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Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
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Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Soriano v Medić
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Soriano 12-4
VS
10-2 Medić
5'11"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
72"
reach
—
33
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
5.5
60%
striking accuracy
60%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
51%
striking defence
58%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
53%
takedown accuracy
50%
73%
takedown defence
55%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MA
MMA Attic picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“the model is ready for an upset so we're taking Punahele Soriano at plus 160”
$2.60
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Uroš Medić
“I gotta go with Uroš Medić the favorite”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Uroš Medić
“eu vou de Uroš Medić”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Uroš Medić
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter ... I see that happening again ... getting the first or second round tko's”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Punahele Soriano
“next fight Uroš Medić ver Punahele Soriano I originally really liked menish here but um Line's about - 210 looks like he's maybe a little taller probably a little longer but uh sorano's thick he's strong he's been getting better it's probably a staya away”
$1.48
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“I see him beating Punahele Soriano and uh starts the card off with a nice entertaining W”
$1.45
KU
Kunath picks Uroš Medić
“Punahele Soriano he's on first round knockout or get tired watch as well so I'm not really interested”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Uroš Medić
“I think Uroš Medić gets it done against Puna Sano”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“Punahele Soriano who's looking to make it two consecutive victories after a stretch of fights”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Soriano12-4
W
Brahimaj
Feb '26
W
Veretennikov
Oct '25
W
Medić
Jan '25
W
Baeza
Jun '24
L
Stoltzfus
Dec '23
Medić10-2
W
Neal
Feb '26
W
Salikhov
Nov '25
W
Urbina
Aug '25
L
Soriano
Jan '25
W
Means
Apr '24