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Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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MT
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Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight
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Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight
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Rosas Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight
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Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight
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Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight
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Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mederos v Hubbard
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mederos 11-1-1
VS
17-10 Hubbard
5'10"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
71"
29
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
4.1
41%
striking accuracy
43%
4.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
45%
striking defence
57%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
32%
takedown accuracy
34%
71%
takedown defence
67%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I'm picking Madero to win by decision”
GLO MMA picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“I'm picking Madero to win by decision”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I'm gonna pick the upand comer especially in Mexico minus 160 favorite Curt and jerker to start the fraking event”
$1.62
Capper Comparison Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I'm gonna pick the upand comer especially in Mexico minus 160 favorite Curt and jerker to start the fraking event”
$1.62
CT
Combat Sports Today picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
Combat Sports Today picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
WO
WorstTakeMMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I'll definitely be looking at that prospect. uh MarQuel Mederos.”
WorstTakeMMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I'll definitely be looking at that prospect. uh MarQuel Mederos.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“the stars are aligned for Austin Hubbard to just be tough as [ __ ] and move forward. Austin Hubbard could squeak out a win here.”
We Want Picks picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
“the stars are aligned for Austin Hubbard to just be tough as [ __ ] and move forward. Austin Hubbard could squeak out a win here.”
E!
Erok ! picks MarQuel Mederos
“we're going to go MarQuel Mederos”
Erok ! picks MarQuel Mederos
“we're going to go MarQuel Mederos”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“Marquel MarQuel Mederos by unanimous decision is the pick”
$1.65
MMA EXPERTS picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“Marquel MarQuel Mederos by unanimous decision is the pick”
$1.65
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I do think he gets it done.”
Plays & Fades Sports picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I do think he gets it done.”
WP
We Want Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I got to go with MarQuel Mederos in this fight I think he's going to be the more tactical guy can stay clean and withstand the takedowns of Austin Hubbard”
We Want Picks picks MarQuel Mederos
“I got to go with MarQuel Mederos in this fight I think he's going to be the more tactical guy can stay clean and withstand the takedowns of Austin Hubbard”
PN
Picks Nation picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I think Marco Maderos wins, but I do not think MarQuel Mederos wins this fight by finish.”
Picks Nation picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“I think Marco Maderos wins, but I do not think MarQuel Mederos wins this fight by finish.”
AH
Alonzo Hernandez picks MarQuel Mederos
“I have uh MarQuel Mederos just because of that 75 win streak it's hard to win at anything seven times let alone in a cage fight”
Alonzo Hernandez picks MarQuel Mederos
“I have uh MarQuel Mederos just because of that 75 win streak it's hard to win at anything seven times let alone in a cage fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mederos11-1-1
W
Choinski
Jun '25
W
Hubbard
Mar '25
Hubbard17-10
L
Zhu
Aug '25
L
Mederos
Mar '25
L
Hernandez
Oct '24
W
Figlak
Apr '24
L
Holobaugh
Aug '23