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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Martínez v Oliveira Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Martínez 42
5 Oliveira
SWPBTD pick Martínez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Martínez 21-3-1 VS 18-7 Oliveira
5'9" height 5'4"
221 lb weight 144 lb
67" reach 72"
— age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 3.5
42% striking accuracy 41%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
72% striking defence 48%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
43% takedown accuracy 64%
85% takedown defence 72%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks David Martínez “I'm gonna go with David Martinez I'm confident but I'm not putting him any partly at minus 450 or whatever the hell he was” $1.22
TS The Open Mat Show picks David Martínez “I really don't see how David Martínez can this up unless Saimon Oliveira looking too sharp and David Martínez probably guess I got David Martínez TKO”
SL SUPER LUTAS picks David Martínez VALUE “acho que o David Martínez vence o Saimon Oliveira”
UG UFC Genie picks David Martínez VALUE “I think David Martínez at plus 115 instead of minus 485 is a great line. So, I'll take that all day.” $2.15
MP MMA Prophecy picks David Martínez “I'm gonna pick him. I am gonna pick David David Martínez, but I hate this fight”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks David Martínez VALUE “pinta para mucho la estrella mexicana. ... va a salir con el triunfo” $1.22
SO SOKRATES-MMA picks David Martínez “gehe ich mit David Martinez”
WO WorstTakeMMA picks David Martínez VALUE “David Martínez who is making his UFC debut coming in on a seven-fight win streak has an 82% knockout rate.”
NM Nipple to Nipple MMA picks Saimon Oliveira “I'm going to go with um Saimon Oliveira”
WP We Want Picks picks David Martínez VALUE “David Martínez should light this nerd up.”
E! Erok ! picks David Martínez “I'll put it on David Martinez”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks David Martínez VALUE “give me Gabriel Martinez.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Martínez21-3-1
W Vera Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Font Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Oliveira KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
Oliveira18-7
L Lacerda Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Martínez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Marcos KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23
L Gravely Decision · R3 Jan '22