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BEST PRICE Prophecy read García v Pichel Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
García 34
10 Pichel
TWBMDO pick García
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
García 11-6-1 VS 14-4 Pichel
6'1" height 5'10"
154 lb weight 156 lb
76" reach 72"
— age 43
Switch stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.6
51% striking accuracy 46%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
65% striking defence 55%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
33% takedown accuracy 54%
82% takedown defence 25%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Cyclone MMA picks Vinc Pichel “Vinc Pichel he's fighting Rafa Rafa García Vinc Pichel is like 40,000 years old he's like 40 he's like 42 or 43 he's old as [ __ ] he hasn't won in a couple years I don't want to take money line Rafa García because that doesn't do like anything for us but I will go Rafa García by points”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Rafa García “Vinc Pichel is like money line Rafa García because that doesn't Rafa García by points”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Vinc Pichel “I'm going to be going with Vinc Pichel.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Vinc Pichel VALUE “I'm going on Vinc Pichel as well from hell as well because he's swell I'm going dog and I'm keeping Rafa García out of all my parlays” $4.70
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Rafa García VALUE “vitória do Rafa García sobre o Vinc Pichel”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Rafa García “we're going with Rafa García v Vinc Pichel and same fight starts round three or Rafa García to win”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Rafa García “He's a boxer. My bad. He's a decent striker. He's good all around, man.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Rafa García VALUE “lo veo ganando porque también tiene rato en inactividad a su rival” $1.20
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Rafa García “I'm going to go with Rafa García on this one.”
WO WorstTakeMMA picks Rafa García VALUE “Hoff Rafa García has every advantage in this fight.”
E! Erok ! picks Rafa García “I'm definitely taking Rafa Rafa García”
PA PattyMMA picks Rafa García “I'm picking him because he's Mexican”
Recent form last five, most recent first
García11-6-1
W Hernandez Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Gordon KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Pichel Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Dawson KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
W Guida Decision · R3 Apr '23
Pichel14-4
L García Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Bonfim Decision · R3 May '24
L Madsen Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Aug '21
W Miller Decision · R3 Aug '20