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Moreno vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
MT
DD
Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight
ÉC
CV
Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight
RJ
VM
Rosas Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight
DM
SO
Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight
KB
RR
Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight
AG
JM
Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MC
CR
Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight
LG
JP
Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
RG
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García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Emmers vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Moreno v Erceg
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Moreno 23-9-2
VS
13-4 Erceg
5'7"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
70"
reach
68"
32
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.0
strikes landed / min
4.4
43%
striking accuracy
48%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
60%
striking defence
53%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
46%
takedown accuracy
26%
64%
takedown defence
60%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“Brandon Moreno is going to win by a decision.”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Steve Erceg
“with their EVENT_DETAILS predictions that's later today Brandon Moreno Steve Erceg in Mexico City make sure to go check out that video and greo plays MMA”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Brandon Moreno
“with their EVENT_DETAILS predictions that's later today Brandon Moreno Steve Erceg in Mexico City make sure to go check out that video and greo plays MMA”
GM
GLO MMA picks Brandon Moreno
“I'm picking Brandon Moreno”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Brandon Moreno
“I'm picking Brandon Moreno I'm on him I think he's he's a like a whole different level above Steve Erceg”
SL
SUPER LUTAS picks Steve Erceg
“eSteve Ercegue vem de duas derrotas e tenta se reaproximar”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Steve Erceg
“I'm going to go with Steve Erceg to get the surprise win here”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Brandon Moreno
“My pick's going to be NOT_IN_ROSTER_20. I'm going to go with Steve Erceg to get the surprise win here”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“yo diría quizás una decisión o nocouto técnico tardío y si llegase la decisión yo digo tres round a dos para de Brandon Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno”
$1.38
TS
The Interim Title Show picks Brandon Moreno
“I do think Brandon Brandon Moreno will beat Steve Ursuch.”
FF
Fights & Frags picks Brandon Moreno
“my pick for this fight I'm G to go with Brandon Moreno”
MA
Mitch Martial Arts picks Steve Erceg
“that last fight's going to be pretty good though Steve Erceg and Brandon Moreno 's Underdog I'm not really sure why I feel like he has very clean boxing and he has the the length on Brandon Moreno but we'll see I'm certainly rooting for for a second I I like the guy so”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L
Kavanagh
Feb '26
L
Taira
Dec '25
W
Erceg
Mar '25
W
Albazi
Nov '24
L
Royval
Feb '24
Erceg13-4
W
Elliott
May '26
W
Osbourne
Aug '25
L
Moreno
Mar '25
L
Kara-France
Aug '24
L
Pantoja
May '24