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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight KH JP Harrison vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight KH VL Holland vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight JP KG Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight JV BS Van vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Flyweight WC AS Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight YJ JS Joo-sang vs SaragihEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight QS YA Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight MB PM Bautista vs MixMain Card · Bantamweight AM BR Murzakanov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WC SS Cortes-Acosta vs SpivacPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AG KW Gustafsson vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MM MC Mederos vs ChoinskiEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pyfer v Gastelum Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus61 picks · conf 73/99
Pyfer 53
8 Gastelum
MHYOJM pick Pyfer
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pyfer 0-0 VS 21-10 Gastelum
6'2" height 5'9"
186 lb weight 191 lb
75" reach 71"
29 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.4
56% striking accuracy 52%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
71% striking defence 74%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
50% takedown accuracy 32%
73% takedown defence 86%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Joe Pyfer VALUE “I truly believe that Joe Pyfer, this is his moment to finally get the legend name ... Joe Pyer they will look to prove them wrong ... I'm gonna go with Joe on this one. I'm gonna take the I'm gonna take the go main event ... I'm gonna take Joe Pyfer.”
PG PHX Fight Garage picks Joe Pyfer “My parlay. Merab Dvalishvili, Kayla Harrison, Joe Pyfer, Mario Bautista, Mario Bautista, and Kevin Holland.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Joe Pyfer “So I'm taking Joe Pyfer.”
12 12Coffees picks Joe Pyfer “Joe Pyfer va a ganar.”
MD mdminds picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE $1.36
MD mdminds picks Joe Pyfer VALUE $1.24
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Kelvin Gastelum “for this fight I'm going to go Kelvin Gastelum just just cuz I like the dude as well and Yeah, we we Hall of Fame brothers, so I'm gonna go Kelvin Gaston in this fight.”
TS The Open Mat Show picks Joe Pyfer VALUE “if you don't remember, Joe Pyfer had to pull out”
VI Vicious421 picks Joe Pyfer “I'm going to go for Joe Pyfer though”
JR Juan More Round picks Joe Pyfer “me and Sebastian are going Joe Piper. Uh I'm going to go with Decision.”
AV Alexander Volkanovski picks Joe Pyfer “I think Joe Pyfer will win.”
LC Logan CSC picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “Kelvin Gastelum versus Joe Pyfer. Is that 85? Dude, I don't know what you want me to tell you, but Joe Pyfer is gonna do this guy.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pyfer0-0
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Magomedov Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Gastelum Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Barriault KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Hermansson Decision · R5 Feb '24
Gastelum21-10
L Luque Submission · R1 Apr '26
W Stoltzfus Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Pyfer Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Brady Submission · R3 Dec '23