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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mederos v Choinski Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
Mederos 19
10 Choinski
ISRJUH pick Mederos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mederos 11-1-1 VS 8-1 Choinski
5'10" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 69"
29 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min —
41% striking accuracy —
4.8 strikes absorbed / min —
45% striking defence —
1.9 takedowns / 15 min —
32% takedown accuracy —
71% takedown defence —
0.6 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mark Choinski VALUE “I'm gonna go with the wrestler. I'm gonna go with the D3 AllAmerican for three years in a row from Wisconsin wrestler and Mark Choinski at plus 142. I'm going to put that right in on my perfect parlay bet.”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “Eu vou de MarQuel Mederos, tá? Acho que ele tem uma boa chance de vencer”
TA TakeDownTalks picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “Give me Medos by decision”
KU Kunath picks Mark Choinski VALUE “I like him this week. I think that he's going to get the job done.”
EB ESPN BET picks Mark Choinski VALUE “Mark Choinski. This is a striker versus grappler. If he gets the fight to the floor, he can win this fight.”
JR Juan More Round picks Mark Choinski “I'm going to go with Mark Choinski.”
LC Logan CSC picks Mark Choinski VALUE “I don't know, bro. Something tells me like something tells me y'all know is gonna win this, bro.”
LC Logan CSC picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “If you have a picture, I'm picking you. NOT_IN_ROSTER_7. Give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_7.”
DC Dodson's Corner picks MarQuel Mederos “went with MarQuel Mederos by decision”
PP Punches & Profits picks MarQuel Mederos “I think it's MarQuel Mederos's fight all day and he's going to [ __ ] piece him up on points.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Mark Choinski “we believe Mark Mark Choinski's grappling, solid striking, and poise will lead him to victory in this one.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mederos11-1-1
W Choinski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Mar '25
Choinski8-1
L Mederos Decision · R3 Jun '25