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Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight
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Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Cortes-Acosta v Spivac
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cortes-Acosta 17-2
VS
17-6 Spivac
6'4"
height
6'3"
262 lb
weight
251 lb
78"
reach
78"
34
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
3.5
65%
striking accuracy
49%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
52%
striking defence
50%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
4.6
69%
takedown accuracy
65%
63%
takedown defence
70%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Serghei Spivac
“I think Serghei Spivac's going to win”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Serghei Spivac
“I think Serghei Spivac's going to win”
JC
Jxcob CLASH picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I'm going with Serghei Spivac on this one cuz I think he has really good grappling and I think he'll definitely be able to take down Waldo Cortes-Acosta and probably win by finish whether it's a sub or knockout, but I'm leaning toward a sub.”
$1.70
Jxcob CLASH picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I'm going with Serghei Spivac on this one cuz I think he has really good grappling and I think he'll definitely be able to take down Waldo Cortes-Acosta and probably win by finish whether it's a sub or knockout, but I'm leaning toward a sub.”
$1.70
KU
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I know Serghei Spivac is everybody's dog of the week.”
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I know Serghei Spivac is everybody's dog of the week.”
CM
Coty MMA picks Serghei Spivac
“Give me Serghei Spivac by sub.”
Coty MMA picks Serghei Spivac
“Give me Serghei Spivac by sub.”
LC
Logan CSC picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“Serve Serghei Spivac is a good gatekeeper though. But I think Okasa is going to show levels and he's going to win this fight.”
Logan CSC picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“Serve Serghei Spivac is a good gatekeeper though. But I think Okasa is going to show levels and he's going to win this fight.”
GL
GladiatorMMA picks Serghei Spivac
“Ich denke, er wird auch gewinnen”
GladiatorMMA picks Serghei Spivac
“Ich denke, er wird auch gewinnen”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I like Spac here at minus 140. I think he gets the job done.”
$1.71
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I like Spac here at minus 140. I think he gets the job done.”
$1.71
HN
Hidden Source News picks Serghei Spivac
“we believe Serghei Spivac will use his superior ground game and experience to control and win this bout.”
Hidden Source News picks Serghei Spivac
“we believe Serghei Spivac will use his superior ground game and experience to control and win this bout.”
RM
Rare MMA picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“to watch Waldo Cortes-Acosta. You know, he is a fun fighter.”
Rare MMA picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“to watch Waldo Cortes-Acosta. You know, he is a fun fighter.”
MA
MMA AJ picks Serghei Spivac
“So I think it'll go to the ground Serghei Spivac decision.”
MMA AJ picks Serghei Spivac
“So I think it'll go to the ground Serghei Spivac decision.”
HP
Hayjive Picks picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I don't expect him to be landing a lot of significant strikes”
Hayjive Picks picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta
“I don't expect him to be landing a lot of significant strikes”
PP
Primal Instinct Fight Picks picks Serghei Spivac
“I think Serghei Spivac's going to get the victory in that one.”
Primal Instinct Fight Picks picks Serghei Spivac
“I think Serghei Spivac's going to get the victory in that one.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cortes-Acosta17-2
L
Volkov
May '26
W
Lewis
Jan '26
W
Gaziev
Nov '25
W
Delija
Nov '25
L
Pavlovich
Aug '25
Spivac17-6
W
Delija
Feb '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jun '25
L
Almeida
Jan '25
W
Tybura
Aug '24
L
Gane
Sep '23