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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight KH JP Harrison vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight KH VL Holland vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight JP KG Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight JV BS Van vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Flyweight WC AS Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight YJ JS Joo-sang vs SaragihEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight QS YA Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight MB PM Bautista vs MixMain Card · Bantamweight AM BR Murzakanov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WC SS Cortes-Acosta vs SpivacPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AG KW Gustafsson vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MM MC Mederos vs ChoinskiEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dvalishvili v O'Malley Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus179 picks · conf 99/99
Dvalishvili 117
62 O'Malley
MSFTSH pick Dvalishvili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4 VS 19-3 O'Malley
5'6" height 5'11"
135 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 72"
35 age 31
Orthodox stance Switch
4.3 strikes landed / min 5.4
39% striking accuracy 55%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
60% striking defence 56%
8.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
47% takedown accuracy 33%
76% takedown defence 82%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “I'm going to take NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 ... I'm going to vibe with my my dog Sean here. ... I'm going to take NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 to recover the Bantonweight Championship ... I absolutely love it.”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE $1.33
PG PHX Fight Garage picks Sean O'Malley “he loves Sean O'Malley... So, we're going Sean O'Malley”
PG PHX Fight Garage picks Merab Dvalishvili “My parlay. Merab Dvalishvili, Kayla Harrison, Joe Pyfer, Mario Bautista, Mario Bautista, and Kevin Holland.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili “I'm gonna go with the Merab Dvalishvili with the smart pick. Merab Dvalishvili should win ... I got Merab Dvalishvili. ... I gotta go Merab Dvalishvili for sure.”
FP Fight Pulse picks Merab Dvalishvili “I'm picking Merab Dvalishvili.”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Merab Dvalishvili “Tem o Merab Dvalishvili Dvalishvili defendendo seu cinturão contra o Sean O'Malley”
JC Jxcob CLASH picks Sean O'Malley “Even though Sean O'Malley's done a complete 180 on his lifestyle... I still think Merab Dvalishvili gets it done.” $3.30
TA TakeDownTalks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 should win this fight. But if you're following NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 at minus 300 or 310 chain, whatever it is, that's crazy. You shouldn't do it. If you want to know the best bet for this fight and for the whole card... If you want to know the best bet for this fight and for the whole card, you can access all my bets and insights for just $10 a month.”
TB The Backseat Fighter Podcast - BackseatMedia picks Merab Dvalishvili “Merab Dvalishvili should be the heavy favorite in this fight. I don't think there should be any reason to doubt his ability to win this fight.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Merab Dvalishvili “Uh going with Merab Dvalishvili to win.”
FC Fight CAT picks Merab Dvalishvili “So I'm sticking with him.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L Yan Decision · R5 Dec '25
W Sandhagen Decision · R5 Oct '25
W O'Malley Submission · R3 Jun '25
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R5 Jan '25
W O'Malley Decision · R5 Sep '24
O'Malley19-3
W Zahabi KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Yadong Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Dvalishvili Submission · R3 Jun '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '24