Kayla Harrison vs Julianna Peña · Fight IQ

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

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Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight KH

Harrison vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight KH

Holland vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight JP

Pyfer vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight JV

Van vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Flyweight WC

Cong vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight YJ

Joo-sang vs SaragihEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight QS

Salkilld vs AshmouzEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight MB

Bautista vs MixMain Card · Bantamweight AM

Murzakanov vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WC

Cortes-Acosta vs SpivacPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AG

Gustafsson vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MM

Mederos vs ChoinskiEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight

BEST PRICE Prophecy read Harrison v Peña Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →

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Consensus93 picks · conf 82/99

Harrison 71

22 Peña

pick Harrison

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

Harrison 19-1 VS 13-5 Peña

5'8" height 5'6"

135 lb weight 135 lb

66" reach 69"

36 age 36

Southpaw stance Orthodox

4.9 strikes landed / min 3.2

64% striking accuracy 44%

1.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.5

64% striking defence 57%

2.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.8

30% takedown accuracy 56%

100% takedown defence 23%

0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.8

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

BunkyMMA picks Kayla Harrison VALUE “I have Kayla Harrison winning a decision here. I don't see her going out there and finishing Julian Julianna Peña. I think Julianna Peña is going to make this fight look a little closer than the odds say, but I do think we're going to get Kayla Harrison 4-1 getting Julianna Peña out of there.”

Capitán Rafucho picks Kayla Harrison VALUE “Kayla Harrison is going to finish Julianna Peña. It's going to happen.”

Capper Comparison Picks picks Kayla Harrison “Kayla Harrison hoping Kayla Harrison just finishes it I'm taking him.”

mdminds picks Kayla Harrison VALUE $3.20

mdminds picks Julianna Peña VALUE $1.13

ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Julianna Peña “também temos aí a Julianna Peña defendendo seu cinturão contra a Kayla Harrison”

TakeDownTalks picks Kayla Harrison VALUE “Kayla Harrison is going to get the fight to the ground. She's going to finish Julian Bñena inside three rounds”