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UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mar Fan v Steele Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus171 picks · conf 99/99
Mar Fan 79
92 Steele
TMRCCB pick Mar Fan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mar Fan 9-2 VS 7-1 Steele
5'11" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 71"
26 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 5.3
— striking accuracy 40%
— strikes absorbed / min 5.3
— striking defence 60%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.0
— takedown accuracy 0%
— takedown defence 100%
— submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Dom Mar Fan “I'm going to take Dom Mar Fan because Kody Steele uh is one of these guys that debuted off the Contender Series... I just think Dom Mar Fan's a lot better.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Dom Mar Fan “give me Dom Mar Fan >> Yeah, I'm I'm gonna take Dom Mar Fan, too.”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Kody Steele “I really like the side of Kody Steele here... I think he can edge a decision victory.”
22 222MMA picks Kody Steele “I'm gonna go Kody Steele. I'm gonna go Kody Steele by first round submission... I'm going Kody Steele uh rear naked choke in round one.”
BP Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Kody Steele “Give me Kody Steele.”
DR DRYWALL picks Kody Steele VALUE “Cody still is the pick.” $1.52
AC Anything Combat picks Kody Steele “I'm picking Kody Steele because I've seen his better.”
JN john newquist picks Dom Mar Fan “easy case for Dom Mar Fan to win it”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Dom Mar Fan VALUE “I see Dom Mar Fan getting a good win here and taking that plus 168 and cashing it to the bank.” $2.68
TI TITLE_TALKMMA picks Kody Steele “I'm going have to pick Kody Steele to get the victory.”
7L 7LukeMMA picks Kody Steele “I'm gonna go with Kody Steele here... I'm going with Cody Steel. I think probably a decision here.”
JM James Keller MMA picks Dom Mar Fan “I'm taking Dom Mar Fan by unanimous decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mar Fan9-2
L Steele Submission · R1 May '26
W Sang-wook Decision · R3 Feb '26
Steele7-1
W Fan Submission · R1 May '26
L Zhu Decision · R3 Feb '25