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Dariush vs SalkilldMain Card · Lightweight
TE
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Elliott vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
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Gaziev vs PeričićMain Card · Heavyweight
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Tuivasa vs SutherlandMain Card · Heavyweight
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Rowston vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Tafa vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Malkoun vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Thicknesse vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tafa v Christian
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5
VS
9-3 Christian
6'3"
height
6'7"
205 lb
weight
205 lb
75"
reach
80"
29
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
0.8
62%
striking accuracy
35%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
1.8
55%
striking defence
55%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
49%
takedown accuracy
0%
90%
takedown defence
50%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
3.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Junior Tafa
“I [__] like the Junior Tafa and you know, I wanted eight inches on Junior Tafa”
GiulianoArgenti picks Junior Tafa
“I [__] like the Junior Tafa and you know, I wanted eight inches on Junior Tafa”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Junior Tafa
“I'm taking Junior Tafa by first round”
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Junior Tafa
“I'm taking Junior Tafa by first round”
ZE
ZekeYaps picks Junior Tafa
“to get it done by KO TKO. Junior Tafa is going to be Kevin Christian.”
ZekeYaps picks Junior Tafa
“to get it done by KO TKO. Junior Tafa is going to be Kevin Christian.”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Kevin Christian
“I'll take Kevin Christian”
FATALITY MMA picks Kevin Christian
“I'll take Kevin Christian”
IZ
Izzysdegenmind picks Junior Tafa
“You put Junior Tafa minus 218 in cut. Junior Tafa to win is likely going Junior Tafa to win by knockout or TKO.”
$1.46
Izzysdegenmind picks Junior Tafa
“You put Junior Tafa minus 218 in cut. Junior Tafa to win is likely going Junior Tafa to win by knockout or TKO.”
$1.46
AC
Anything Combat picks Junior Tafa
“Junior Tafa versus uh Kevin Junior Tafa to win win fights in the U Junior Tafa in the other hand if he do if I was Junior Tafa.”
Anything Combat picks Junior Tafa
“Junior Tafa versus uh Kevin Junior Tafa to win win fights in the U Junior Tafa in the other hand if he do if I was Junior Tafa.”
SN
SniperWins picks Junior Tafa
“I got to go with Junior Tafa here... Give me Junior Tafa.”
SniperWins picks Junior Tafa
“I got to go with Junior Tafa here... Give me Junior Tafa.”
ST
StaceymanMMA picks Kevin Christian VALUE
“This week's lock of the week is going to be Kevin Christian... this is free money. I I genuinely have no idea how I can't see Kevin Christian losing this.”
StaceymanMMA picks Kevin Christian VALUE
“This week's lock of the week is going to be Kevin Christian... this is free money. I I genuinely have no idea how I can't see Kevin Christian losing this.”
IN
InsomniaMMA picks Kevin Christian
“give me Kevin Christian by KO/TKO in round one”
InsomniaMMA picks Kevin Christian
“give me Kevin Christian by KO/TKO in round one”
TI
TITLE_TALKMMA picks Junior Tafa
“Give me Junior Tafa to win this fight... give me Junior Tafa”
TITLE_TALKMMA picks Junior Tafa
“Give me Junior Tafa to win this fight... give me Junior Tafa”
7L
7LukeMMA picks Junior Tafa
“I'm picking Junior Tafa. Kevin Junior Tafa is, man, he's pretty [ __ ] I'm going with Junior Tafa. I think he one. Uh I'm gonna go to Junior Tafa.”
7LukeMMA picks Junior Tafa
“I'm picking Junior Tafa. Kevin Junior Tafa is, man, he's pretty [ __ ] I'm going with Junior Tafa. I think he one. Uh I'm gonna go to Junior Tafa.”
YK
Yetersiz Bakiye Kulübü picks Junior Tafa
“this is a match that Junior Tafa is definitely going to win. They couldn't have provided a better opponent than Kevin Christian. ... I think Junior Tafa will beat Kevin Christian Junior Tafa will beat Kevin Christian . I think Junior Tafa will win.”
Yetersiz Bakiye Kulübü picks Junior Tafa
“this is a match that Junior Tafa is definitely going to win. They couldn't have provided a better opponent than Kevin Christian. ... I think Junior Tafa will beat Kevin Christian Junior Tafa will beat Kevin Christian . I think Junior Tafa will win.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L
Baraniewski
Jun '26
W
Christian
May '26
L
Elekana
Feb '26
L
Tokkos
Jul '25
W
Sharaf
Oct '24
Christian9-3
L
Tafa
May '26
L
Elekana
Nov '25