Choose a fight to analyse
JM
CP
Maddalena vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
BD
QS
Dariush vs SalkilldMain Card · Lightweight
TE
SE
Elliott vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
SG
BP
Gaziev vs PeričićMain Card · Heavyweight
TT
LS
Tuivasa vs SutherlandMain Card · Heavyweight
CR
RB
Rowston vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JT
KC
Tafa vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
GM
Malkoun vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Catchweight
CT
VM
Thicknesse vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BJ
WS
Johnston vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TG
Micallef vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DF
KS
Fan vs SteelePreliminary Card · Lightweight
MR
OS
Rahiki vs SchmidMain Card · Featherweight
CP
Maddalena vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
BD
QS
Dariush vs SalkilldMain Card · Lightweight
TE
SE
Elliott vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
SG
BP
Gaziev vs PeričićMain Card · Heavyweight
TT
LS
Tuivasa vs SutherlandMain Card · Heavyweight
CR
RB
Rowston vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JT
KC
Tafa vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JM
GM
Malkoun vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Catchweight
CT
VM
Thicknesse vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BJ
WS
Johnston vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TG
Micallef vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DF
KS
Fan vs SteelePreliminary Card · Lightweight
MR
OS
Rahiki vs SchmidMain Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elliott v Erceg
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Elliott 22-13-1
VS
13-4 Erceg
5'7"
height
5'8"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
66"
reach
68"
39
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
44%
striking accuracy
48%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
56%
striking defence
53%
3.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
47%
takedown accuracy
26%
59%
takedown defence
60%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Tim Elliott
“All right, I'm gonna take Tim Elliott.”
GiulianoArgenti picks Tim Elliott
“All right, I'm gonna take Tim Elliott.”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Steve Erceg
“go Steve Erceg by decision.”
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Steve Erceg
“go Steve Erceg by decision.”
ZE
ZekeYaps picks Tim Elliott
“Tim Elliott by decision”
ZekeYaps picks Tim Elliott
“Tim Elliott by decision”
TH
ThatBettingDude picks Steve Erceg
“myself bet on Steve Erceg to win”
ThatBettingDude picks Steve Erceg
“myself bet on Steve Erceg to win”
CO
CombatCoreMMA picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg decision is a going Steve Erceg by decision.”
CombatCoreMMA picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg decision is a going Steve Erceg by decision.”
22
222MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I'm going to go with Steve Erceg in this fight... So, I think Steve Erceg wins this fight by decision... we're going Steve Erceg.”
222MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I'm going to go with Steve Erceg in this fight... So, I think Steve Erceg wins this fight by decision... we're going Steve Erceg.”
BP
Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Tim Elliott
“I'm taking Tim Elliott. Give me leave Tim Elliott off and just bet him”
Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Tim Elliott
“I'm taking Tim Elliott. Give me leave Tim Elliott off and just bet him”
IZ
Izzysdegenmind picks Steve Erceg
“Steve Erceg dominates this. He gets a Steve Erceg best price I can find is minus 210, is Steve Erceg to win by decision.”
$1.48
Izzysdegenmind picks Steve Erceg
“Steve Erceg dominates this. He gets a Steve Erceg best price I can find is minus 210, is Steve Erceg to win by decision.”
$1.48
AC
Anything Combat picks Tim Elliott
“picking Tim Elliott here just off the reckon Tim Elliott I reckon Tim Elliott's going to hit what you're saying is Tim Elliott winner.”
Anything Combat picks Tim Elliott
“picking Tim Elliott here just off the reckon Tim Elliott I reckon Tim Elliott's going to hit what you're saying is Tim Elliott winner.”
TP
Throwing Shade Podcast picks Steve Erceg
“I'm going to go Steve Erceg >> Yeah. Well, Steve Erceg's a very quiet man, Tuckers and I think Steve Erceg's going to get decision victory for Steve Erceg.”
Throwing Shade Podcast picks Steve Erceg
“I'm going to go Steve Erceg >> Yeah. Well, Steve Erceg's a very quiet man, Tuckers and I think Steve Erceg's going to get decision victory for Steve Erceg.”
IN
InsomniaMMA picks Steve Erceg
“give me [ __ ] Steve Erceg [ __ ] Steve Erceg basically kind of nonetheless.”
InsomniaMMA picks Steve Erceg
“give me [ __ ] Steve Erceg [ __ ] Steve Erceg basically kind of nonetheless.”
TI
TITLE_TALKMMA picks Steve Erceg
“Steve Erceg is going to win this fight. And I think Steve Erceg might be a Steve Erceg who actually is a good give me Steve Erceg”
TITLE_TALKMMA picks Steve Erceg
“Steve Erceg is going to win this fight. And I think Steve Erceg might be a Steve Erceg who actually is a good give me Steve Erceg”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elliott22-13-1
L
Erceg
May '26
W
Asakura
Aug '25
W
Mudaerji
Dec '23
L
Mokaev
Oct '23
W
Altamirano
Jun '23
Erceg13-4
W
Elliott
May '26
W
Osbourne
Aug '25
L
Moreno
Mar '25
L
Kara-France
Aug '24
L
Pantoja
May '24