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UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Micallef v Gorimbo Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus139 picks · conf 99/99
Micallef 127
12 Gorimbo
PMSLRM pick Micallef
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Micallef 9-1 VS 14-6 Gorimbo
6'0" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
77" reach 77"
27 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 3.1
56% striking accuracy 61%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 1.1
63% striking defence 56%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.9
57% takedown accuracy 65%
61% takedown defence 82%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Jonathan Micallef “Taking Jonathan Micallef money line.”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Jonathan Micallef “I see Jonathan Micallef being victory. Give me Jonathan Micallef to win the Themba Gorimbo.”
22 222MMA picks Jonathan Micallef “I'm going Jonathan Micallef via submission, round two.”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Jonathan Micallef “to take Jonathan Micallef Jonathan Micallef here.”
IZ Izzysdegenmind picks Jonathan Micallef “I think Jonathan Micallef wins like Jonathan Micallef is all that. ... Give me Jonathan Micallef to win this fight pretty easily.” $1.69
SN SniperWins picks Jonathan Micallef “I'm going to pick Jonathan Micallef but think Jonathan Micallef is going to win.”
IN InsomniaMMA picks Jonathan Micallef “Jonathan Micallef getting this one done by decision”
TI TITLE_TALKMMA picks Jonathan Micallef “Give me Jonathan Micallef.”
7L 7LukeMMA picks Jonathan Micallef “I'm gonna go with Jonathan Micallef here.”
YK Yetersiz Bakiye Kulübü picks Jonathan Micallef “I think Jonathan Micallef will win this match.”
JM James Keller MMA picks Jonathan Micallef “I'm taking Jonathan Micallef by round two um TKO”
PI PickemMMA picks Jonathan Micallef VALUE “Give me Jonathan Micallef to win. I think he wins.” $1.45
Recent form last five, most recent first
Micallef9-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 May '26
W Elliott Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Jousset Decision · R3 Feb '25
Gorimbo14-6
L Micallef Decision · R3 May '26
L Wells Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Luque Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Price Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 May '24