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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Thicknesse v Morales Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus147 picks · conf 99/99
Thicknesse 108
39 Morales
BMKMSR pick Thicknesse
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Thicknesse 8-1 VS 16-10 Morales
5'7" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 70"
27 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 4.0
50% striking accuracy 36%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
69% striking defence 53%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
25% takedown accuracy 30%
76% takedown defence 65%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Vince Morales “Oh, I like my guy Vince Morales.”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Colby Thicknesse “easy layup for uh, Colby Thicknesse Colby Thicknesse... easy dub for Colby Thicknesse... Colby Thicknesse gets a sub”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Vince Morales “I'm going to take Vince Morales”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Colby Thicknesse “I think Colby Thicknesse is ... little more Colby Thicknesse here.”
PP Pure Picks picks Vince Morales VALUE “give me Vince Morales as my underdog on me, Vince Morales. That is your best”
ZE ZekeYaps picks Colby Thicknesse “I got Colby Thicknesse by decision.”
22 222MMA picks Colby Thicknesse “I don't see this fight going any other way. Colby Thicknesse. see it going any other way, boys. That's it. Colby Thicknesse.”
BP Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Colby Thicknesse “I had Colby Thicknesse.” $1.69
YO YoungPastey picks Colby Thicknesse “We're back in and taking Colby Thicknesse minus 130, 1.3 units.” $1.77
IZ Izzysdegenmind picks Colby Thicknesse “I think Colby Thicknesse is able right now... I think Colby Thicknesse outpoints Vince Morales.” $1.72
DR DRYWALL picks Colby Thicknesse “Give me Colby Thicknesse Colby Thicknesse minus 142.” $1.70
SN SniperWins picks Colby Thicknesse “So, we probably going to side with Colby Thicknesse Colby Thicknesse here. Not very confident in yeah, I got to go Colby Thicknesse here... I like Colby Thicknesse”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Thicknesse8-1
W Morales Decision · R3 May '26
W Musasa Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Topuria Decision · R3 Feb '25
Morales16-10
L Thicknesse Decision · R3 May '26
L Rosas Jr. Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Smith Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Lapilus Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Johns Decision · R3 Nov '22