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Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
SH
Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Curtis v Orolbai
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Curtis 32-12
VS
15-2-1 Orolbai
5'10"
height
5'10"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
76"
reach
74"
38
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
3.4
51%
striking accuracy
48%
6.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
52%
striking defence
49%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
5.4
0%
takedown accuracy
43%
82%
takedown defence
40%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I think he will really use that body lock entry a lot to get Chris Curtis down... he will take down Chris Curtis and really take his back and rear nick choke him.”
$1.44
MMAbouts Talks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I think he will really use that body lock entry a lot to get Chris Curtis down... he will take down Chris Curtis and really take his back and rear nick choke him.”
$1.44
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“Like I see Chris Curtis think Chris Curtis is going to win?”
Industry Plant MMA picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“Like I see Chris Curtis think Chris Curtis is going to win?”
IM
IJB MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai is going to beat Chris Curtis by decision.”
IJB MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai is going to beat Chris Curtis by decision.”
AN
AntUFC picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I do think that Myktybek Orolbai will win this one again.”
AntUFC picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I do think that Myktybek Orolbai will win this one again.”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Chris Curtis VALUE
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Chris Curtis VALUE
PT
Premier TV picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai by points on this”
Premier TV picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai by points on this”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai he's just he's going to win this by decision.”
Bozing MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I think Myktybek Orolbai he's just he's going to win this by decision.”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I don't know if Chris Curtis can putting any money on Chris Curtis. Um We've got ... I think Chris Curtis is the more though”
Premium-Picks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I don't know if Chris Curtis can putting any money on Chris Curtis. Um We've got ... I think Chris Curtis is the more though”
MD
MMA DUMMY picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I think Orblie gets it done. I think he's gonna have really aggressive pace. He's gonna walk down Chris Curtis, put takedowns on him... We're taking Orably by decision.”
MMA DUMMY picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I think Orblie gets it done. I think he's gonna have really aggressive pace. He's gonna walk down Chris Curtis, put takedowns on him... We're taking Orably by decision.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“Myktybek Orolbai by by unanimous decision is what I'm going with.”
McManusMMA picks Myktybek Orolbai
“Myktybek Orolbai by by unanimous decision is what I'm going with.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I believe Orobble could take Chris Curtis down... I believe it's my Tobec's time.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I believe Orobble could take Chris Curtis down... I believe it's my Tobec's time.”
SC
ScriptedMMA picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I have Minbec Orb to get a knockout in the second round as my prediction.”
ScriptedMMA picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“I have Minbec Orb to get a knockout in the second round as my prediction.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Curtis32-12
L
Orolbai
Mar '26
W
Griffin
Jul '25
L
Kopylov
Jan '25
L
Allen
Apr '24
W
Barriault
Jan '24
Orolbai15-2-1
W
Curtis
Mar '26
W
Hermansson
Nov '25
W
Musayev
Jun '25
L
Rębecki
Oct '24
W
Brener
May '24