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Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oki v Sousa
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oki 10-4
VS
13-1 Sousa
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
73"
reach
70"
30
age
29
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
—
58%
striking accuracy
—
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
—
64%
striking defence
—
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
—
59%
takedown accuracy
—
84%
takedown defence
—
1.3
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I'm going to go with Manoel Sousa.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I'm going to go with Manoel Sousa.”
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I have Sosa minus 350 odds. Second round KODTKO 7.9 out of 10 confidence.”
$1.29
MMAbouts Talks picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I have Sosa minus 350 odds. Second round KODTKO 7.9 out of 10 confidence.”
$1.29
IM
IJB MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I got Manoel Sousa to beat Bolaji Oki by decision.”
IJB MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I got Manoel Sousa to beat Bolaji Oki by decision.”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa is going to win this match up. I think he gets the job done here. I think he wins a decision.”
DonDaDa02 picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa is going to win this match up. I think he gets the job done here. I think he wins a decision.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I think Manoel Sousa is going to have an advantage on the feet here and on the ground.”
Bozing MMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I think Manoel Sousa is going to have an advantage on the feet here and on the ground.”
MD
MMA DUMMY picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I'm taking Manuel Souza. I think he's going to viciously KO NOT_IN_ROSTER_2... I'm taking Souza by KO, probably round one.”
MMA DUMMY picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I'm taking Manuel Souza. I think he's going to viciously KO NOT_IN_ROSTER_2... I'm taking Souza by KO, probably round one.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I'm going with uh Manoel Sousa by Kot TKO.”
McManusMMA picks Manoel Sousa
“I'm going with uh Manoel Sousa by Kot TKO.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I believe Manoel Sousa will get this fight done by KO.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“I believe Manoel Sousa will get this fight done by KO.”
TH
TheWeasle picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa. This is going to be such an interesting fight.”
TheWeasle picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa. This is going to be such an interesting fight.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Manoel Sousa
“I believe that the grappling um of Manoel Sousa uh will be a bit too much for Old Mate to handle. So, I'm going to go Manoel Sousa off this one.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Manoel Sousa
“I believe that the grappling um of Manoel Sousa uh will be a bit too much for Old Mate to handle. So, I'm going to go Manoel Sousa off this one.”
SQ
SqimpMMA picks Bolaji Oki VALUE
“I think Okei is going to win this... Maybe even gets a late fight TKO or a submission. I could see a submission.”
SqimpMMA picks Bolaji Oki VALUE
“I think Okei is going to win this... Maybe even gets a late fight TKO or a submission. I could see a submission.”
MA
Mustafa Abutair picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa is injured.”
Mustafa Abutair picks Manoel Sousa VALUE
“Manoel Sousa is injured.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oki10-4
L
Sousa
Mar '26
L
Jones
Sep '25
W
Aswell
May '25
L
Duncan
Sep '24
W
Cuamba
Feb '24
Sousa13-1
W
Oki
Mar '26