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UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mesquita v Rendon Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Mesquita 8
7 Rendon
MBPMWM pick Mesquita
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mesquita 6-0 VS 7-1 Rendon
5'4" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 68"
35 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 5.5
56% striking accuracy 54%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
55% striking defence 62%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
46% takedown accuracy 27%
80% takedown defence 81%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MT MMAbouts Talks picks Montserrat Rendon VALUE “I'm going to get her sub. I mean, her BJJ is very good... She's going to get be able to get her takedowns in on Monter in the first round.” $1.22
DO DonDaDa02 picks Montserrat Rendon VALUE “Randon is going to lose this. Basquita is going to win this matchup.”
PT Premier TV picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE “I'm personally putting a unit on that.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I think she's going to dominate this fight honestly and just beat the [ __ ] out of Montserrat Rendon.”
MD MMA DUMMY picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE “We're taking Bia NOT_IN_ROSTER_16. Could she find the finish? Think so, but I'm not going to count on it. We're going to take Bia NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 by decision.”
MC McManusMMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going Beatriz Mesquita by going with Beatriz Mesquita by submission”
SC ScriptedMMA picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE “Be a Mosquita via decision.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Montserrat Rendon “I'm going to go with the Mexican as well with Montserrat Rendon.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Beatriz Mesquita “I think she gets takedowns anyway. Uh 9500's a lot, but 9K is rough this week. We're going to talk about some a couple other 9K fighters, and there are some holes here. Um BMSeta, I think, is also one of the safest fights on the card for Cash Game. I'm not going to play any uh Monserat Renone Busquetto. One of my favorite options on the card like her in all formats. That's the play.” $1.12
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Montserrat Rendon “Beatriz Mesquita taking on Montserrat Rendon the monster. Beatriz Mesquita is a huge favorite at minus 800. Monserat Randon comes in at plus 575, plus 450 in some books. She's a big underdog... I think she gets takedowns anyway. Uh 9500's a lot, but 9K is rough this week. We're going to talk about some a couple other 9K fighters, and there are some holes here. Um BMSeta, I think, is also one of the safest fights on the card for Cash Game. I'm not going to play any uh Monserat Renone Busquetto. One of my favorite options on the card like her in all formats. That's the play.” $6.75
RH RHYTHMBETZ picks Beatriz Mesquita VALUE “I'm taking Beatriz Mesquita”
MM mmaswindles picks Montserrat Rendon VALUE “I'm going to slightly lean toward Hetra Sosa.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mesquita6-0
W Mullins Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Rendon Submission · R1 Mar '26
W Alekseeva Submission · R2 Oct '25
Rendon7-1
L Mesquita Submission · R1 Mar '26
W Pereira Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Zheleznyakova Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Vidal Decision · R3 Sep '23