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Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
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Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Petrino v Asplund
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Petrino 13-2
VS
7-1 Asplund
6'2"
height
6'5"
250 lb
weight
261 lb
78"
reach
78"
28
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
—
64%
striking accuracy
—
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
—
69%
striking defence
—
2.4
takedowns / 15 min
—
32%
takedown accuracy
—
53%
takedown defence
—
1.5
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Kevin Villister round NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 HTKO 9.3 out of 10 confidence.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Kevin Villister round NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 HTKO 9.3 out of 10 confidence.”
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“Steven Asplund third round KO TKO 7.8 out of 10 confidence.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“Steven Asplund third round KO TKO 7.8 out of 10 confidence.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“And now Vitor Petrino, I think he's submitting Steven Asplund.”
IJB MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“And now Vitor Petrino, I think he's submitting Steven Asplund.”
AN
AntUFC picks Steven Asplund
“But I'm going to go Vtor Patrino by to get a KO in rounds one or two.”
AntUFC picks Steven Asplund
“But I'm going to go Vtor Patrino by to get a KO in rounds one or two.”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“I think Vitor Petrino's way of winning this fight is getting this fight to the ground and finding a submission.”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“I think Vitor Petrino's way of winning this fight is getting this fight to the ground and finding a submission.”
PT
Premier TV picks Steven Asplund
“I said I'm betting on Steven Asplund betting on Steven Asplund this week, but”
Premier TV picks Steven Asplund
“I said I'm betting on Steven Asplund betting on Steven Asplund this week, but”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going to go Vitor Petrino in this.”
Bozing MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going to go Vitor Petrino in this.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going with Vitor Petrino by decision.”
McManusMMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going with Vitor Petrino by decision.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“give me Steven Aswood by maybe a round three KO or a 29 28 30 27 decision.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“give me Steven Aswood by maybe a round three KO or a 29 28 30 27 decision.”
SC
ScriptedMMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_16... I think Steven Aswood comes in. I think he gets that second round knockout.”
ScriptedMMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_16... I think Steven Aswood comes in. I think he gets that second round knockout.”
FF
Frozen Fists picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Asplund, probably by TKO.”
Frozen Fists picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Asplund, probably by TKO.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Vitor Petrino... has strong hooks and uppercuts, but he's kind of sloppy at times... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 is just going to be able to keep it standing and push a pace on him... NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by just tough decision.”
Loki MMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Vitor Petrino... has strong hooks and uppercuts, but he's kind of sloppy at times... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 is just going to be able to keep it standing and push a pace on him... NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by just tough decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Petrino13-2
W
Asplund
Mar '26
W
Petersen
Oct '25
W
Lane
Jul '25
L
Jacoby
Dec '24
L
Smith
May '24
Asplund7-1
L
Petrino
Mar '26
W
Sharaf
Dec '25